Saturday's projected 12-team field for 2026, fit only on games already played with no foresight. It re-sorts every week as results land; the real bracket appears here once the playoff is played.

MODEL PROJECTION · NO FORESIGHT

Saturday's projected 12-team field and seeding as of each week, fit only on games already played, with no knowledge of future results.

WEEK 0 · PRESEASON

NO GAMES PLAYED YET

SEEDTEAMRECORDRATING

Ohio StateBig Ten

0-0+27.92

IndianaBig Ten

0-0+24.21

OregonBig Ten

0-0+23.28

Texas TechBig 12

0-0+21.31

Notre DameFBS Independents

0-0+21.07

TexasSEC

0-0+20.7

MiamiACC

0-0+18.66

GeorgiaSEC

0-0+18.12

Texas A&MSEC

0-0+17.5

LSUSEC

0-0+16.45

OklahomaSEC

0-0+15.31

Boise StatePac-12

0-0+5.05

Seeds 1–4 (shown in green) receive first-round byes. The model enforces the Group-of-5 auto-bid: if no G5 team appears in the top 12, the strongest G5 team displaces the weakest at-large. Rating is each team's number as of that week, built only on games already played and pulled back toward the preseason number (λ = 4).

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