Saturday
Saturday

DATA AS OF OCT 5 · 9:31 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

AS THINGS STAND

2026 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF

Twelve teams, four byes, one trophy. This is the field as Saturday has it today, rebuilt every week on the games that have actually been played. The real bracket takes over once the playoff starts.

THE PROJECTED BRACKET

How Saturday has the whole thing playing out, round by round, with the odds on every matchup.

FIRST ROUND · ON CAMPUS
AT MIA
8Miami64%
9Oregon
AT IU
5Indiana88%
12Boise State
AT LSU
6LSU71%
11Texas Tech
AT OSU
7Ohio State80%
10Florida
QUARTERFINALS
1Texas56%
8Miami
4Georgia
5Indiana51%
3Notre Dame57%
6LSU
2Alabama54%
7Ohio State
SEMIFINALS
1Texas52%
5Indiana
3Notre Dame
2Alabama53%
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
1Texas
2Alabama57%
PROJECTED CHAMPION
ALABAMA
IF THE CHALK HOLDS

Percentages are the favorite's chance to win that game. After the first round, every matchup assumes the favorites keep winning.

WEEK 6
WK 2WK 6
THE FIELD

Seeded on the record so far. ODDS is the chance of actually making the field once the rest of the season is played out.

SEEDTEAMRECORDRATINGODDS
1
Texas
4-0+26.2198%
2
Alabama
5-0+28.7999%
3
Notre Dame
5-0+27.6699%
4
Georgia
5-0+24.8996%
5
Indiana
5-0+25.2998%
6
LSU
4-1+24.7885%
7
Ohio State
4-1+27.1895%
8
Miami
5-0+23.9292%
9
Oregon
3-1+21.271%
10
Florida
4-1+16.8716%
11
Texas Tech
5-0+19.1764%
12
Boise State
4-1+10.0547%
NEXT IN LINE
TEAMSEEDODDS
Utah
~951%
James Madison
~1235%
UCLA
~918%
BYU
~1015%
Missouri
~915%
New Mexico
~1215%

Seeds 1 through 4, in green, get a first-round bye. Five conference champions qualify automatically, so the best Group of 5 champion is always in the field.

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