Saturday
GAMES
Browse this week's slate
SCOREBOARD
Every live game, tracked against the call
METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY
How the model works, and whether it does
POWER RANKINGS
See where every team stands, replay 2025
PLAYOFF MODEL
Who makes the twelve-team field
THE LEDGER
What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market
DATA DOWNLOAD
Every projection, week by week, as a CSV
BEAT SATURDAYSOON
Your call against the projected margin
DATA DOWNLOAD
THE FILE
saturday-2026-week-06.csv
58 games · 25 columns · data as of OCT 5 · 9:31 PM ET
SAME ADDRESS EVERY WEEK
WEEK 6
58 GAMES · NONE LOCKED YETETMATCHUPSATURDAY'S PICKMARGINTOTALFINALCALL
PICKMARGINTOTALRESULT
TUE OCT 61 GAME
8:00 PMSouthern Miss@TroyTROY 70.8%8.850.58:00 PM–WED OCT 72 GAMES
7:00 PMJacksonville State@Kennesaw StateKENN 53.5%1.449.77:00 PM–7:30 PMNew Mexico State@Florida InternationalFIU 60.8%4.447.27:30 PM–THU OCT 84 GAMES
7:00 PMMissouri State@Western KentuckyWKU 51.0%0.456.47:00 PM–7:00 PMSam Houston@LibertyLIB 84.4%16.251.87:00 PM–7:30 PMSouth Alabama@Arkansas StateARST 57.4%3.056.87:30 PM–7:30 PMSouth Florida@UTSAUTSA 62.6%5.251.27:30 PM–FRI OCT 95 GAMES
7:00 PMFlorida State@LouisvilleLOU 65.8%6.559.47:00 PM–9:00 PM#20 Iowa@WashingtonWASH 52.3%0.946.39:00 PM–9:00 PMWashington State@Utah StateUSU 58.2%3.345.49:00 PM–9:00 PMWyoming@San José StateSJSU 68.6%7.845.49:00 PM–10:15 PMIowa State@#8 BYUBYU 81.9%14.653.810:15 PM–SAT OCT 1046 GAMES
12:00 PMArizona@West VirginiaARIZ 69.1%8.058.212:00 PM–12:00 PM#7 Indiana@NebraskaIU 73.3%10.055.112:00 PM–12:00 PMNorth Carolina@#25 PittsburghPITT 73.9%10.351.412:00 PM–12:00 PMSacramento State@Bowling GreenBGSU 69.0%7.948.112:00 PM–12:00 PMTexas A&M@#14 MissouriMIZ 53.8%1.652.412:00 PM–12:00 PMTulane@ArmyARMY 58.5%3.450.012:00 PM–12:00 PMUCF@#18 Oklahoma StateOKST 53.5%1.452.812:00 PM–12:00 PMWake Forest@NC StateWAKE 58.5%3.458.312:00 PM–12:30 PMBall State@NorthwesternNU 98.1%39.053.912:30 PM–12:45 PMSouth Carolina@#16 FloridaFLA 73.5%10.164.112:45 PM–1:00 PMOld Dominion@App StateAPP 60.9%4.554.01:00 PM–2:00 PMMiami (OH)@MassachusettsM-OH 77.3%12.053.82:00 PM–3:30 PMBuffalo@ToledoTOL 93.1%23.760.33:30 PM–3:30 PMCentral Michigan@OhioOHIO 58.2%3.350.63:30 PM–3:30 PMCharlotte@North TexasUNT 96.3%28.462.63:30 PM–3:30 PMDuke@Georgia TechDUKE 57.3%2.951.83:30 PM–3:30 PMEastern Michigan@AkronEMU 56.8%2.852.23:30 PM–3:30 PM#22 Houston@Kansas StateKSU 55.4%2.257.83:30 PM–3:30 PMIllinois@Michigan StateILL 54.2%1.749.93:30 PM–3:30 PMKent State@Western MichiganWMU 85.5%16.946.63:30 PM–3:30 PM#9 Ole Miss@VanderbiltMISS 63.3%5.456.33:30 PM–3:30 PMStanford@#3 Notre DameND 98.2%39.556.03:30 PM–3:30 PM#1 TexasVSOklahomaTEX 73.4%10.034.03:30 PM–3:30 PMTulsa@NavyNAVY 52.4%1.049.93:30 PM–3:30 PM#21 UCLA@#13 OregonORE 69.0%8.061.73:30 PM–3:30 PMVirginia Tech@CaliforniaVT 60.2%4.257.33:30 PM–3:45 PMUConn@TempleTEM 62.9%5.355.83:45 PM–4:00 PMRice@East CarolinaECU 73.7%10.249.14:00 PM–4:15 PMMaryland@#5 Ohio StateOSU 97.5%33.056.94:15 PM–4:15 PM#15 Tennessee@ArkansasTENN 78.8%12.852.54:15 PM–6:00 PMSan Diego State@Oregon StateORST 70.6%8.753.86:00 PM–7:00 PMCoastal Carolina@MarshallMRSH 58.2%3.354.27:00 PM–7:00 PM#10 LSU@KentuckyLSU 74.8%10.757.67:00 PM–7:00 PMNevada@UTEPNEV 65.0%6.255.27:00 PM–7:00 PMNorth Dakota State@UNLVUNLV 50.9%0.448.47:00 PM–7:00 PMUAB@MemphisMEM 86.3%17.554.57:00 PM–7:30 PMAir Force@Northern IllinoisAF 73.1%9.951.87:30 PM–7:30 PM#2 Georgia@#6 AlabamaALA 68.9%7.964.87:30 PM–7:30 PMJames Madison@Georgia SouthernJMU 78.1%12.454.57:30 PM–7:30 PMLouisiana@Louisiana TechLT 52.7%1.155.47:30 PM–7:30 PMSyracuse@VirginiaUVA 77.1%11.954.67:30 PM–7:30 PM#19 USC@Penn StatePSU 54.1%1.655.87:30 PM–8:00 PMMinnesota@PurdueMINN 52.4%1.056.48:00 PM–9:30 PMHawai'i@Arizona StateASU 85.3%16.855.29:30 PM–10:15 PMKansas@#12 UtahUTAH 84.2%16.154.710:15 PM–10:30 PM#23 Boise State@Fresno StateBOIS 67.3%7.251.010:30 PM–COLUMN GUIDE25 columns ›Close
One row per game, header row first, comma separated, UTF-8. Percentages run 0 to 100. Points, margins and percentages carry one decimal. true and false are written out.
- season
- Season year.
- week
- Week number.
- week_label
- The week as the site names it.
- game_id
- Saturday's id for the game. The game page is saturdayanalytics.com/game/<game_id>.
- kickoff_utc
- Kickoff in UTC. Blank while the kickoff time is TBD.
- kickoff_et
- Kickoff in US Eastern time, 24-hour clock. Date only while the time is TBD.
- away_team
- Away team, CollegeFootballData school name.
- home_team
- Home team. At a neutral site, the team listed second.
- neutral_site
- true when neither team is at home.
- fbs_vs_fbs
- true when neither team is FCS.
- projected_winner
- The team Saturday picks to win.
- projected_winner_win_pct
- Saturday's win probability for that team, 0 to 100.
- projected_margin
- How many points Saturday has the projected winner winning by, to two decimals. Always positive.
- home_spread
- The same margin as a home spread, to two decimals: negative means the home team is favored (−7.50 = home by 7.5).
- away_win_pct
- Away team's win probability, 0 to 100.
- home_win_pct
- Home team's win probability, 0 to 100.
- projected_total
- Projected combined points.
- projected_away_points
- (projected_total + home_spread) / 2. A straight split, so a heavy underdog can land below zero.
- projected_home_points
- (projected_total − home_spread) / 2.
- status
- final, in_progress or upcoming.
- away_points
- Final away score. Blank until final.
- home_points
- Final home score. Blank until final.
- projected_winner_won
- true or false once final. Blank until then.
- projection_locked
- true once the game has kicked off. A locked row never changes again.
- projection_stamped_at_utc
- When the number in this row was first published, UTC.
Each projection is built only on the games played before it. See how Saturday thinks for the full recipe.
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