Saturday
GAMES
Browse this week's slate
SCOREBOARD
Every live game, tracked against the call
METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY
How the model works, and whether it does
POWER RANKINGS
See where every team stands, replay 2025
PLAYOFF MODEL
Who makes the twelve-team field
THE LEDGER
What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market
DATA DOWNLOAD
Every projection, week by week, as a CSV
BEAT SATURDAYSOON
Your call against the projected margin
DATA DOWNLOAD
THE FILE
saturday-2026-week-05.csv
59 games · 25 columns · data as of OCT 5 · 9:31 PM ET
SAME ADDRESS EVERY WEEK
WEEK 5
59 GAMES · ALL LOCKEDETMATCHUPSATURDAY'S PICKMARGINTOTALFINALCALL
PICKMARGINTOTALRESULT
THU OCT 12 GAMES
8:00 PMWestern Kentucky@New Mexico StateNMSU 50.9%0.357.1NMSU 34–13HITWKU 13 – 34 NMSUHIT9:00 PMNorth Texas@TulsaUNT 60.1%4.254.6UNT 45–44HITUNT 45 – 44 TLSAHITFRI OCT 23 GAMES
7:00 PMLiberty@DelawareLIB 58.1%3.351.1LIB 30–14HITLIB 30 – 14 DELHIT7:00 PMPittsburgh@Virginia TechPITT 54.5%1.854.9PITT 35–33HITPITT 35 – 33 VTHIT8:00 PMPenn State@NorthwesternPSU 52.4%1.051.3NU 34–13MISSPSU 13 – 34 NUMISSSAT OCT 354 GAMES
11:00 AMMemphis@CharlotteMEM 89.6%20.456.6MEM 59–8HITMEM 59 – 8 CLTHIT12:00 PM#7 Alabama@#16 Mississippi StateALA 69.9%8.561.7ALA 56–23HITALA 56 – 23 MSSTHIT12:00 PMBoston College@#21 SMUSMU 91.1%21.851.8SMU 25–16HITBC 16 – 25 SMUHIT12:00 PMMichigan@MinnesotaMICH 68.5%7.850.4MINN 20–14MISSMICH 14 – 20 MINNMISS12:00 PMMiddle Tennessee@KansasKU 90.6%21.352.9KU 55–0HITMTSU 0 – 55 KUHIT12:00 PMNavy@Air ForceAF 55.7%2.356.1AF 14–9HITNAVY 9 – 14 AFHIT12:00 PM#3 Notre Dame@North CarolinaND 94.1%25.350.7ND 37–26HITND 37 – 26 UNCHIT12:00 PMStanford@Wake ForestWAKE 83.5%15.855.3WAKE 57–3HITSTAN 3 – 57 WAKEHIT12:00 PMSyracuse@UConnCONN 52.0%0.853.9SYR 42–41MISSSYR 42 – 41 CONNMISS12:00 PMUCF@#20 HoustonHOU 70.6%8.856.8HOU 27–17HITUCF 17 – 27 HOUHIT12:00 PMWest Virginia@Iowa StateISU 66.8%7.056.2ISU 45–42HITWVU 42 – 45 ISUHIT12:30 PMMichigan State@WisconsinWIS 72.0%9.451.1WIS 31–3HITMSU 3 – 31 WISHIT12:45 PMVanderbilt@#2 GeorgiaUGA 88.1%19.158.0UGA 38–14HITVAN 14 – 38 UGAHIT1:00 PMWestern Michigan@BuffaloWMU 81.5%14.652.8WMU 20–17HITWMU 20 – 17 BUFHIT2:00 PMToledo@Ball StateTOL 91.2%21.959.6TOL 39–24HITTOL 39 – 24 BALLHIT3:30 PMAkron@Central MichiganCMU 72.7%9.849.7CMU 41–17HITAKR 17 – 41 CMUHIT3:30 PMAuburn@#17 TennesseeTENN 66.7%7.055.7TENN 24–14HITAUB 14 – 24 TENNHIT3:30 PMBowling Green@Miami (OH)M-OH 85.0%16.852.7BGSU 24–20MISSBGSU 24 – 20 M-OHMISS3:30 PMCalifornia@UNLVCAL 51.8%0.848.8UNLV 39–31MISSCAL 31 – 39 UNLVMISS3:30 PMEastern Michigan@MassachusettsEMU 54.8%1.950.6EMU 38–14HITEMU 38 – 14 MASSHIT3:30 PM#8 Florida@#25 MissouriFLA 57.3%3.061.1MIZ 45–17MISSFLA 17 – 45 MIZMISS3:30 PMLouisville@NC StateLOU 68.4%7.863.4NCSU 31–28MISSLOU 28 – 31 NCSUMISS3:30 PMOhio@Kent StateOHIO 62.4%5.155.9OHIO 13–10HITOHIO 13 – 10 KENTHIT3:30 PM#5 Ohio State@#14 IowaOSU 75.0%10.951.5OSU 31–14HITOSU 31 – 14 IOWAHIT3:30 PMOld Dominion@Georgia StateGAST 51.6%0.756.1GAST 42–10HITODU 10 – 42 GASTHIT3:30 PMSamford@UABUAB 94.4%25.750.6UAB 33–14HITSAM 14 – 33 UABHIT3:30 PMVirginia@Florida StateUVA 56.2%2.555.2FSU 38–7MISSUVA 7 – 38 FSUMISS3:30 PMWyoming@North Dakota StateNDSU 83.6%15.947.3NDSU 28–0HITWYO 0 – 28 NDSUHIT3:45 PMMarshall@James MadisonJMU 90.1%20.856.5JMU 45–17HITMRSH 17 – 45 JMUHIT4:00 PMMaryland@NebraskaNEB 84.6%16.555.2NEB 48–23HITMD 23 – 48 NEBHIT4:00 PMUTEP@New MexicoUNM 94.9%26.554.3UNM 61–7HITUTEP 7 – 61 UNMHIT4:15 PM#24 Kentucky@South CarolinaSC 53.7%1.557.8UK 35–34MISSUK 35 – 34 SCMISS4:15 PMPurdue@IllinoisILL 73.4%10.162.0PUR 24–17MISSPUR 24 – 17 ILLMISS6:00 PMOregon State@Colorado StateORST 55.7%2.360.8ORST 56–26HITORST 56 – 26 CSUHIT6:00 PMTexas Southern@Florida AtlanticFAU 97.7%34.961.0FAU 66–10HITTXSO 10 – 66 FAUHIT7:00 PMArkansas@Texas A&MTA&M 87.1%18.352.2TA&M 34–7HITARK 7 – 34 TA&MHIT7:00 PM#10 BYU@TCUBYU 65.3%6.452.4BYU 17–10HITBYU 17 – 10 TCUHIT7:00 PMGeorgia Southern@Coastal CarolinaCCU 52.1%0.950.5GASO 31–24MISSGASO 31 – 24 CCUMISS7:00 PMUL Monroe@South AlabamaUSA 82.7%15.359.6USA 52–35HITULM 35 – 52 USAHIT7:00 PMUTSA@RiceUTSA 77.3%12.155.9UTSA 16–14HITUTSA 16 – 14 RICEHIT7:30 PMArmy@Louisiana TechARMY 51.0%0.457.1LT 31–29MISSARMY 29 – 31 LTMISS7:30 PM#4 Miami@ClemsonMIA 76.8%11.953.6MIA 41–13HITMIA 41 – 13 CLEMHIT7:30 PMTemple@South FloridaUSF 72.6%9.852.2TEM 17–13MISSTEM 17 – 13 USFMISS7:30 PM#12 Texas Tech@ColoradoTTU 85.9%17.451.4TTU 29–7HITTTU 29 – 7 COLOHIT7:30 PMUtah State@#22 Boise StateBOIS 86.2%17.647.9BOIS 37–18HITUSU 18 – 37 BOISHIT7:30 PMWashington@#18 USCUSC 68.6%7.856.1USC 25–21HITWASH 21 – 25 USCHIT7:45 PMMcNeese@#11 LSULSU 98.5%59.652.9LSU 63–14HITMCN 14 – 63 LSUHIT8:00 PMArkansas State@LouisianaUL 74.0%10.451.5UL 23–20HITARST 20 – 23 ULHIT8:00 PM#6 Indiana@RutgersIU 96.1%28.455.9IU 47–15HITIU 47 – 15 RUTGHIT9:30 PMFresno State@Washington StateWSU 56.5%2.649.9FRES 26–6MISSFRES 26 – 6 WSUMISS10:30 PMBaylor@Arizona StateBAY 50.8%0.354.9BAY 55–19HITBAY 55 – 19 ASUHIT10:30 PMTexas State@San Diego StateTXST 52.1%0.856.7SDSU 31–29MISSTXST 29 – 31 SDSUMISS11:00 PMCincinnati@ArizonaARIZ 67.4%7.355.6ARIZ 34–7HITCIN 7 – 34 ARIZHIT11:59 PMSan José State@Hawai'iHAW 62.0%5.050.3SJSU 20–16MISSSJSU 20 – 16 HAWMISSCOLUMN GUIDE25 columns ›Close
One row per game, header row first, comma separated, UTF-8. Percentages run 0 to 100. Points, margins and percentages carry one decimal. true and false are written out.
- season
- Season year.
- week
- Week number.
- week_label
- The week as the site names it.
- game_id
- Saturday's id for the game. The game page is saturdayanalytics.com/game/<game_id>.
- kickoff_utc
- Kickoff in UTC. Blank while the kickoff time is TBD.
- kickoff_et
- Kickoff in US Eastern time, 24-hour clock. Date only while the time is TBD.
- away_team
- Away team, CollegeFootballData school name.
- home_team
- Home team. At a neutral site, the team listed second.
- neutral_site
- true when neither team is at home.
- fbs_vs_fbs
- true when neither team is FCS.
- projected_winner
- The team Saturday picks to win.
- projected_winner_win_pct
- Saturday's win probability for that team, 0 to 100.
- projected_margin
- How many points Saturday has the projected winner winning by, to two decimals. Always positive.
- home_spread
- The same margin as a home spread, to two decimals: negative means the home team is favored (−7.50 = home by 7.5).
- away_win_pct
- Away team's win probability, 0 to 100.
- home_win_pct
- Home team's win probability, 0 to 100.
- projected_total
- Projected combined points.
- projected_away_points
- (projected_total + home_spread) / 2. A straight split, so a heavy underdog can land below zero.
- projected_home_points
- (projected_total − home_spread) / 2.
- status
- final, in_progress or upcoming.
- away_points
- Final away score. Blank until final.
- home_points
- Final home score. Blank until final.
- projected_winner_won
- true or false once final. Blank until then.
- projection_locked
- true once the game has kicked off. A locked row never changes again.
- projection_stamped_at_utc
- When the number in this row was first published, UTC.
Each projection is built only on the games played before it. See how Saturday thinks for the full recipe.
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