Saturday

Saturday

Browse this week's slate

Every live game, tracked against the call

METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY

How the model works, and whether it does

See where every team stands, replay 2025

Who makes the twelve-team field

What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market

Every projection, week by week, as a CSV

BEAT SATURDAYSOON

Your call against the projected margin

DATA AS OF OCT 5 · 9:31 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

LEGAL PRIVACY TERMS

DATA DOWNLOAD

THE FILE

saturday-2026-week-04.csv

71 games · 25 columns · data as of OCT 5 · 9:31 PM ET

DOWNLOAD WEEK 4 (CSV)FULL SEASON (EXCEL)

Full season, Week 0 through Week 6 (448 games): CSV · Excel, a tab for each week

SAME ADDRESS EVERY WEEK

Latest week

saturdayanalytics.com/data/saturday-current-week.csv

Full season

saturdayanalytics.com/data/saturday-current-season.csv

Full season, Excel

saturdayanalytics.com/data/saturday-current-season.xlsx

WEEK 4

71 GAMES · ALL LOCKED

ETMATCHUPSATURDAY'S PICKMARGINTOTALFINALCALL

PICKMARGINTOTALRESULT

THU SEP 241 GAME

7:30 PMLiberty@Coastal CarolinaCCU 53.2%1.452.0LIB 34–17MISSLIB 34 – 17 CCUMISS

FRI SEP 255 GAMES

4:00 PMArmy@TempleTEM 53.6%1.557.4ARMY 21–17MISSARMY 21 – 17 TEMMISS 7:00 PMHoward@RutgersRUTG 95.3%27.557.7RUTG 58–7HITHOW 7 – 58 RUTGHIT 7:00 PMNavy@UABNAVY 61.2%4.754.3UAB 24–20MISSNAVY 20 – 24 UABMISS 8:00 PMNorthwestern@#5 IndianaIU 90.6%21.752.9IU 29–23HITNU 23 – 29 IUHIT 10:30 PMClemson@CaliforniaCLEM 55.1%2.152.9CLEM 24–10HITCLEM 24 – 10 CALHIT

SAT SEP 2665 GAMES

12:00 PMBall State@Kent StateKENT 67.4%7.556.8KENT 26–13HITBALL 13 – 26 KENTHIT 12:00 PMBucknell@PittsburghPITT 98.4%50.444.4PITT 59–0HITBUCK 0 – 59 PITTHIT 12:00 PMColorado@BaylorBAY 78.3%12.951.4BAY 23–13HITCOLO 13 – 23 BAYHIT 12:00 PMColorado State@UTSAUTSA 75.4%11.356.5UTSA 59–45HITCSU 45 – 59 UTSAHIT 12:00 PMIllinois@#7 Ohio StateOSU 92.7%24.057.3OSU 42–19HITILL 19 – 42 OSUHIT 12:00 PMSam Houston@#11 Texas TechTTU 97.9%37.052.5TTU 49–14HITSHSU 14 – 49 TTUHIT 12:00 PMSan Diego State@ToledoTOL 58.1%3.457.8TOL 41–16HITSDSU 16 – 41 TOLHIT 12:00 PM#1 Texas@#14 TennesseeTEX 61.9%5.055.9TEX 20–17HITTEX 20 – 17 TENNHIT 12:00 PMUNLV@AkronUNLV 68.5%8.050.6UNLV 38–10HITUNLV 38 – 10 AKRHIT 12:00 PMVirginia Tech@Boston CollegeVT 80.0%13.956.0VT 21–14HITVT 21 – 14 BCHIT 12:00 PMWake Forest@#16 LouisvilleLOU 81.8%15.062.3WAKE 30–27MISSWAKE 30 – 27 LOUMISS 12:45 PMSouth Alabama@KentuckyUK 92.1%23.356.6UK 45–21HITUSA 21 – 45 UKHIT 1:00 PMLindenwood@Eastern MichiganEMU 84.1%16.553.7EMU 29–3HITLIN 3 – 29 EMUHIT 1:30 PMUCLA@MarylandUCLA 65.5%6.658.2UCLA 54–3HITUCLA 54 – 3 MDHIT 2:00 PMNorthern Illinois@Georgia StateGAST 73.4%10.356.8GAST 35–14HITNIU 14 – 35 GASTHIT 2:00 PM#3 Notre Dame@PurdueND 93.1%24.460.1ND 49–10HITND 49 – 10 PURHIT 3:00 PMCentral Arkansas@Florida StateFSU 98.4%46.357.4FSU 34–7HITCARK 7 – 34 FSUHIT 3:00 PMHawai'i@WyomingHAW 65.1%6.449.0WYO 27–10MISSHAW 10 – 27 WYOMISS 3:30 PMBoise State@Western MichiganBOIS 60.6%4.553.5BOIS 32–7HITBOIS 32 – 7 WMUHIT 3:30 PMGardner-Webb@MarshallMRSH 87.3%18.852.3MRSH 36–35HITGWEB 35 – 36 MRSHHIT 3:30 PM#17 Iowa@#18 MichiganMICH 66.3%7.047.9IOWA 20–19MISSIOWA 20 – 19 MICHMISS 3:30 PMNew Mexico@New Mexico StateUNM 78.2%12.953.1UNM 42–18HITUNM 42 – 18 NMSUHIT 3:30 PMOklahoma@#2 GeorgiaUGA 68.5%8.054.0UGA 41–13HITOU 13 – 41 UGAHIT 3:30 PM#4 Ole Miss@#21 FloridaFLA 50.9%0.462.6FLA 52–28HITMISS 28 – 52 FLAHIT 3:30 PMRobert Morris@BuffaloBUF 88.9%20.151.8BUF 31–28HITRMU 28 – 31 BUFHIT 3:30 PMStonehill@OhioOHIO 95.9%28.655.7OHIO 35–7HITSTO 7 – 35 OHIOHIT 3:30 PMTCU@UCFUCF 51.6%0.754.0UCF 21–13HITTCU 13 – 21 UCFHIT 3:30 PMUConn@Miami (OH)M-OH 51.5%0.659.2M-OH 24–21HITCONN 21 – 24 M-OHHIT 3:30 PM#15 Utah@Iowa StateUTAH 74.3%10.853.5UTAH 31–17HITUTAH 31 – 17 ISUHIT 3:30 PMWilliam & Mary@DukeDUKE 98.3%42.353.6DUKE 62–7HITW&M 7 – 62 DUKEHIT 4:00 PM#25 Houston@Georgia SouthernHOU 85.1%17.153.1HOU 42–28HITHOU 42 – 28 GASOHIT 4:00 PMNorth Carolina Central@East CarolinaECU 97.2%32.253.1ECU 42–9HITNCCU 9 – 42 ECUHIT 4:15 PMVanderbilt@AuburnAUB 65.9%6.856.4AUB 21–15HITVAN 15 – 21 AUBHIT 5:00 PMNebraska@Michigan StateNEB 58.9%3.751.7NEB 31–13HITNEB 31 – 13 MSUHIT 5:00 PMSouth Florida@Bowling GreenUSF 92.1%23.354.1USF 14–6HITUSF 14 – 6 BGSUHIT 5:00 PMWisconsin@#13 Penn StatePSU 80.5%14.254.8WIS 24–20MISSWIS 24 – 20 PSUMISS 6:00 PMDelaware@VirginiaUVA 86.9%18.555.0UVA 42–3HITDEL 3 – 42 UVAHIT 6:00 PMIncarnate Word@Texas StateTXST 96.0%28.862.4TXST 63–10HITUIW 10 – 63 TXSTHIT 6:00 PMJames Madison@Old DominionJMU 66.6%7.152.9JMU 46–20HITJMU 46 – 20 ODUHIT 6:00 PMLong Island University@Florida InternationalFIU 94.4%26.148.3FIU 20–3HITLIU 3 – 20 FIUHIT 6:30 PMCentral Michigan@#6 MiamiMIA 98.1%38.952.4MIA 52–3HITCMU 3 – 52 MIAHIT 6:30 PMLouisiana@CharlotteUL 78.6%13.155.7UL 34–7HITUL 34 – 7 CLTHIT 7:00 PMKansas State@CincinnatiKSU 62.4%5.257.2CIN 31–26MISSKSU 26 – 31 CINMISS 7:00 PMKennesaw State@Arkansas StateARST 58.8%3.752.8ARST 17–14HITKENN 14 – 17 ARSTHIT 7:00 PMMercyhurst@Western KentuckyWKU 93.6%25.160.7WKU 52–7HITMERC 7 – 52 WKUHIT 7:00 PMMiddle Tennessee@Jacksonville StateJXST 70.4%8.853.9JXST 23–13HITMTSU 13 – 23 JXSTHIT 7:00 PMOklahoma State@West VirginiaWVU 64.2%6.057.7OKST 41–24MISSOKST 41 – 24 WVUMISS 7:00 PMSouth Carolina@#8 AlabamaALA 83.7%16.260.3ALA 49–18HITSC 18 – 49 ALAHIT 7:00 PMSouthern Miss@TulaneTULN 84.1%16.551.1TULN 24–21HITUSM 21 – 24 TULNHIT 7:30 PMApp State@NC StateNCSU 81.3%14.755.9NCSU 41–31HITAPP 31 – 41 NCSUHIT 7:30 PMArizona@Washington StateARIZ 65.8%6.750.2ARIZ 34–24HITARIZ 34 – 24 WSUHIT 7:30 PMHouston Christian@North TexasUNT 97.5%33.959.4UNT 63–14HITHCU 14 – 63 UNTHIT 7:30 PM#20 Oregon@#12 USCUSC 50.3%0.162.9ORE 41–27MISSORE 41 – 27 USCMISS 7:30 PM#23 Texas A&M@#10 LSULSU 68.2%7.855.8LSU 35–6HITTA&M 6 – 35 LSUHIT 7:30 PMTroy@Utah StateUSU 61.3%4.848.1USU 21–10HITTROY 10 – 21 USUHIT 7:45 PM#19 Missouri@#24 Mississippi StateMSST 60.9%4.657.8MSST 31–24HITMIZ 24 – 31 MSSTHIT 8:00 PMFlorida Atlantic@UL MonroeFAU 71.2%9.358.7FAU 45–17HITFAU 45 – 17 ULMHIT 8:00 PMTulsa@ArkansasARK 66.4%7.050.2ARK 34–6HITTLSA 6 – 34 ARKHIT 9:00 PMMassachusetts@Sacramento StateSAC 68.0%7.752.5MASS 35–6MISSMASS 35 – 6 SACMISS 9:00 PMMissouri State@#22 SMUSMU 96.6%30.056.5SMU 34–24HITMOST 24 – 34 SMUHIT 9:00 PMOregon State@UTEPORST 79.1%13.458.4ORST 33–7HITORST 33 – 7 UTEPHIT 10:00 PMRice@Fresno StateFRES 80.5%14.248.8FRES 38–24HITRICE 24 – 38 FRESHIT 10:30 PMAir Force@NevadaAF 54.8%2.051.8AF 36–33HITAF 36 – 33 NEVHIT 10:30 PMGeorgia Tech@StanfordGT 68.4%7.953.4STAN 34–27MISSGT 27 – 34 STANMISS 11:00 PMMinnesota@WashingtonWASH 75.1%11.251.7MINN 27–24MISSMINN 27 – 24 WASHMISS

COLUMN GUIDE25 columns ›

One row per game, header row first, comma separated, UTF-8. Percentages run 0 to 100. Points, margins and percentages carry one decimal. true and false are written out.

season: Season year.
week: Week number.
week_label: The week as the site names it.
game_id: Saturday's id for the game. The game page is saturdayanalytics.com/game/<game_id>.
kickoff_utc: Kickoff in UTC. Blank while the kickoff time is TBD.
kickoff_et: Kickoff in US Eastern time, 24-hour clock. Date only while the time is TBD.
away_team: Away team, CollegeFootballData school name.
home_team: Home team. At a neutral site, the team listed second.
neutral_site: true when neither team is at home.
fbs_vs_fbs: true when neither team is FCS.
projected_winner: The team Saturday picks to win.
projected_winner_win_pct: Saturday's win probability for that team, 0 to 100.
projected_margin: How many points Saturday has the projected winner winning by, to two decimals. Always positive.
home_spread: The same margin as a home spread, to two decimals: negative means the home team is favored (−7.50 = home by 7.5).
away_win_pct: Away team's win probability, 0 to 100.
home_win_pct: Home team's win probability, 0 to 100.
projected_total: Projected combined points.
projected_away_points: (projected_total + home_spread) / 2. A straight split, so a heavy underdog can land below zero.
projected_home_points: (projected_total − home_spread) / 2.
status: final, in_progress or upcoming.
away_points: Final away score. Blank until final.
home_points: Final home score. Blank until final.
projected_winner_won: true or false once final. Blank until then.
projection_locked: true once the game has kicked off. A locked row never changes again.
projection_stamped_at_utc: When the number in this row was first published, UTC.

Each projection is built only on the games played before it. See how Saturday thinks for the full recipe.

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