ON THE CLOCK

RUNNING THE SIMULATION_

Saturday

Saturday

Browse this week's slate

METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY

How the model works, and whether it does

See where every team stands, replay 2025

Who makes the twelve-team field

What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market

BEAT SATURDAYSOON

Your call against the projected margin

DATA AS OF AUG 21 · 6:24 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

LEGAL PRIVACY TERMS

GAMES POWER LEDGER

13

Alabama

SEC · PWR 88.7

7.7

PROJECTED WINS

PRESEASON MODEL▾

PROJ WINS

7.7

WIN BAND

5–10

PLAYOFF-CALIBER

4%

PROJ WINS

7.7

WIN BAND

5–10

PLAYOFF

4%

12 GAMES

WKOPPONENTWIN %

1

vsEast CarolinaAmerican Athletic · SEP 5American Athletic · SEP 5FAVORED BY 15.4PROJ 34–19

80%

2

@KentuckySEC · SEP 12SEC · SEP 12FAVORED BY 8.4PROJ 29–21

67%

3

vsFlorida StateACC · SEP 19ACC · SEP 19FAVORED BY 12.0PROJ 31–19

74%

4

vsSouth CarolinaSEC · SEP 26SEC · SEP 26FAVORED BY 8.9PROJ 30–21

68%

5

@Mississippi StateBattle for Highway 82 · OCT 3Battle for Highway 82 · OCT 3FAVORED BY 7.1PROJ 31–24

65%

6

vs#3GeorgiaAlabama–Georgia · OCT 10Alabama–Georgia · OCT 10FAVORED BY 0.5PROJ 27–26

51%

7

@#20TennesseeThird Saturday in October · OCT 17Third Saturday in October · OCT 17UNDERDOG BY 0.1PROJ 28–29

50%

8

vs#8Texas A&MSEC · OCT 24SEC · OCT 24FAVORED BY 0.9PROJ 27–26

52%

9OPEN DATE

10

@#11LSUAlabama–LSU · NOV 7Alabama–LSU · NOV 7UNDERDOG BY 4.7PROJ 23–28

40%

11

@VanderbiltSEC · NOV 14SEC · NOV 14FAVORED BY 2.7PROJ 28–26

56%

12

vsChattanoogaSouthern · NOV 21Southern · NOV 21FAVORED BY 50.9PROJ 52–3

98%

13

vsAuburnIron Bowl · NOV 28Iron Bowl · NOV 28FAVORED BY 7.8PROJ 29–22

66%