Saturday

Saturday

Browse this week's slate

METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY

How the model works, and whether it does

See where every team stands, replay 2025

Who makes the twelve-team field

What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market

BEAT SATURDAYSOON

Your call against the projected margin

DATA AS OF AUG 22 · 2:29 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

LEGAL PRIVACY TERMS

Week 10 Predictions · 2025

Every game of the 2025 Week 10 slate, with the win probability and projected score Saturday set before kickoff, next to the final score. The numbers come from one rating per team, fit on scoring margin from the games played before each kickoff, with no foresight. Open any game for its full range of outcomes.

ALL GAMES

52 GAMES

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 282 GAMES

8:00 PM ET · San Marcos, TXFINALJMU 52–20 TXST8:00 PM ETSan Marcos, TXJames Madison@Texas StateFINALJMU 52–20 TXST63%37%

8:00 PM ET · Kennesaw, GAFINALUTEP 20–33 KENN8:00 PM ETKennesaw, GAUTEP@Kennesaw StateFINALUTEP 20–33 KENN40%60%

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 292 GAMES

7:30 PM ET · Murfreesboro, TNFINALJXST 24–21 MTSU7:30 PM ETMurfreesboro, TNJacksonville State@Middle TennesseeFINALJXST 24–21 MTSU67%33%

8:00 PM ET · Springfield, MOFINALFIU 21–28 MOST8:00 PM ETSpringfield, MOFlorida International@Missouri StateFINALFIU 21–28 MOST38%62%

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 302 GAMES

7:30 PM ET · Conway, SCFINALMRSH 27–44 CCU7:30 PM ETConway, SCMarshall@Coastal CarolinaFINALMRSH 27–44 CCU62%38%

7:30 PM ET · San Antonio, TXFINALTULN 26–48 UTSA7:30 PM ETSan Antonio, TXTulane@UTSAFINALTULN 26–48 UTSA59%41%

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 313 GAMES

7:00 PM ET · Houston, TXFINALMEM 38–14 RICE7:00 PM ETHouston, TX#25 Memphis@RiceFINALMEM 38–14 RICE88%12%

7:30 PM ET · Syracuse, NYFINALUNC 27–10 SYR7:30 PM ETSyracuse, NYNorth Carolina@SyracuseFINALUNC 27–10 SYR32%68%

8:00 PM ET · Ruston, LAFINALSHSU 14–55 LT8:00 PM ETRuston, LASam Houston@Louisiana TechFINALSHSU 14–55 LT15%85%

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 143 GAMES

12:00 PM ET · Columbus, OHFINALPSU 14–38 OSU12:00 PM ETOhio State–Penn StateOhio State–Penn StatePenn State@#1 Ohio StateRIVALRYFINALPSU 14–38 OSU21%79%

12:00 PM ET · Austin, TXFINALVAN 31–34 TEX12:00 PM ETAustin, TX#9 Vanderbilt@#20 TexasFINALVAN 31–34 TEX29%71%

12:00 PM ET · University Park, TXFINALMIA 20–26 SMU12:00 PM ETUniversity Park, TX#10 Miami@SMUFINALMIA 20–26 SMU68%32%

12:00 PM ET · Houston, TXFINALWVU 45–35 HOU12:00 PM ETHouston, TXWest Virginia@#22 HoustonFINALWVU 45–35 HOU21%79%

12:00 PM ET · Denton, TXFINALNAVY 17–31 UNT12:00 PM ETDenton, TXNavy@North TexasFINALNAVY 17–31 UNT31%69%

12:00 PM ET · Clemson, SCFINALDUKE 46–45 CLEM12:00 PM ETClemson, SCDuke@ClemsonFINALDUKE 46–45 CLEM24%76%

12:00 PM ET · Champaign, ILFINALRUTG 13–35 ILL12:00 PM ETChampaign, ILRutgers@IllinoisFINALRUTG 13–35 ILL23%77%

12:00 PM ET · Waco, TXFINALUCF 3–30 BAY12:00 PM ETWaco, TXUCF@BaylorFINALUCF 3–30 BAY35%65%

12:00 PM ET · Bowling Green, OHFINALBUF 28–3 BGSU12:00 PM ETBowling Green, OHBuffalo@Bowling GreenFINALBUF 28–3 BGSU38%62%

12:00 PM ET · East Hartford, CTFINALUAB 19–38 CONN12:00 PM ETEast Hartford, CTUAB@UConnFINALUAB 19–38 CONN18%82%

12:00 PM ET · Colorado Springs, COFINALARMY 20–17 AF12:00 PM ETCommander-in-Chief's TrophyCommander-in-Chief's TrophyArmy@Air ForceRIVALRYFINALARMY 20–17 AF53%47%

1:00 PM ET · Ames, IAFINALASU 24–19 ISU1:00 PM ETAmes, IAArizona State@Iowa StateFINALASU 24–19 ISU41%59%

2:00 PM ET · Philadelphia, PAFINALECU 45–14 TEM2:00 PM ETPhiladelphia, PAEast Carolina@TempleFINALECU 45–14 TEM64%36%

3:00 PM ET · Blacksburg, VAFINALLOU 28–16 VT3:00 PM ETBlacksburg, VA#16 Louisville@Virginia TechFINALLOU 28–16 VT74%26%

3:00 PM ET · Las Vegas, NVFINALUNM 40–35 UNLV3:00 PM ETLas Vegas, NVNew Mexico@UNLVFINALUNM 40–35 UNLV27%73%

3:30 PM ET · College Park, MDFINALIU 55–10 MD3:30 PM ETCollege Park, MD#2 Indiana@MarylandFINALIU 55–10 MD85%15%

3:30 PM ET · Jacksonville, FLFINALUGA 24–20 FLA3:30 PM ETOkefenokee OarOkefenokee Oar#5 GeorgiaVSFloridaRIVALRYFINALUGA 24–20 FLA75%25%

3:30 PM ET · Chestnut Hill, MAFINALND 25–10 BC3:30 PM ETFrank Leahy Memorial BowlFrank Leahy Memorial Bowl#12 Notre Dame@Boston CollegeRIVALRYFINALND 25–10 BC96%4%

3:30 PM ET · Manhattan, KSFINALTTU 43–20 KSU3:30 PM ETManhattan, KS#13 Texas Tech@Kansas StateFINALTTU 43–20 KSU60%40%

3:30 PM ET · Lynchburg, VAFINALDEL 30–59 LIB3:30 PM ETLynchburg, VADelaware@LibertyFINALDEL 30–59 LIB28%72%

3:30 PM ET · Boise, IDFINALFRES 30–7 BOIS3:30 PM ETMilk CanMilk CanFresno State@Boise StateRIVALRYFINALFRES 30–7 BOIS11%89%

3:30 PM ET · Bowling Green, KYFINALNMSU 16–35 WKU3:30 PM ETBowling Green, KYNew Mexico State@Western KentuckyFINALNMSU 16–35 WKU21%79%

3:30 PM ET · Stanford, CAFINALPITT 35–20 STAN3:30 PM ETStanford, CAPittsburgh@StanfordFINALPITT 35–20 STAN82%18%

3:30 PM ET · Minneapolis, MNFINALMSU 20–23 MINN3:30 PM ETMinneapolis, MNMichigan State@MinnesotaFINALMSU 20–23 MINN40%60%

3:30 PM ET · Mobile, ALFINALUL 31–22 USA3:30 PM ETMobile, ALLouisiana@South AlabamaFINALUL 31–22 USA40%60%

3:30 PM ET · Monroe, LAFINALODU 31–6 ULM3:30 PM ETMonroe, LAOld Dominion@UL MonroeFINALODU 31–6 ULM79%21%

3:45 PM ET · Berkeley, CAFINALUVA 31–21 CAL3:45 PM ETBerkeley, CA#15 Virginia@CaliforniaFINALUVA 31–21 CAL67%33%

4:00 PM ET · Fayetteville, ARFINALMSST 38–35 ARK4:00 PM ETFayetteville, ARMississippi State@ArkansasFINALMSST 38–35 ARK37%63%

4:00 PM ET · Kalamazoo, MIFINALCMU 21–24 WMU4:00 PM ETVictory CannonVictory CannonCentral Michigan@Western MichiganRIVALRYFINALCMU 21–24 WMU36%64%

4:00 PM ET · Lawrence, KSFINALOKST 21–38 KU4:00 PM ETLawrence, KSOklahoma State@KansasFINALOKST 21–38 KU10%90%

7:00 PM ET · Oxford, MSFINALSC 14–30 MISS7:00 PM ETOxford, MSSouth Carolina@#7 Ole MissFINALSC 14–30 MISS23%77%

7:00 PM ET · Ann Arbor, MIFINALPUR 16–21 MICH7:00 PM ETAnn Arbor, MIPurdue@#21 MichiganFINALPUR 16–21 MICH9%91%

7:00 PM ET · San Diego, CAFINALWYO 7–24 SDSU7:00 PM ETSan Diego, CAWyoming@San Diego StateFINALWYO 7–24 SDSU24%76%

7:00 PM ET · Boulder, COFINALARIZ 52–17 COLO7:00 PM ETBoulder, COArizona@ColoradoFINALARIZ 52–17 COLO46%54%

7:30 PM ET · Raleigh, NCFINALGT 36–48 NCSU7:30 PM ETRaleigh, NC#8 Georgia Tech@NC StateFINALGT 36–48 NCSU66%34%

7:30 PM ET · Knoxville, TNFINALOU 33–27 TENN7:30 PM ETKnoxville, TN#18 Oklahoma@#14 TennesseeFINALOU 33–27 TENN44%56%

7:30 PM ET · Lincoln, NEFINALUSC 21–17 NEB7:30 PM ETLincoln, NE#23 USC@NebraskaFINALUSC 21–17 NEB67%33%

7:30 PM ET · Auburn, ALFINALUK 10–3 AUB7:30 PM ETAuburn, ALKentucky@AuburnFINALUK 10–3 AUB21%79%

7:30 PM ET · Corvallis, ORFINALWSU 7–10 ORST7:30 PM ETCorvallis, ORWashington State@Oregon StateFINALWSU 7–10 ORST60%40%

7:30 PM ET · Tallahassee, FLFINALWAKE 7–42 FSU7:30 PM ETTallahassee, FLWake Forest@Florida StateFINALWAKE 7–42 FSU26%74%

8:00 PM ET · Troy, ALFINALARST 23–10 TROY8:00 PM ETTroy, ALArkansas State@TroyFINALARST 23–10 TROY27%73%

10:15 PM ET · Salt Lake City, UTFINALCIN 14–45 UTAH10:15 PM ETSalt Lake City, UT#17 Cincinnati@#24 UtahFINALCIN 14–45 UTAH21%79%

10:30 PM ET · San Jose, CAFINALHAW 38–45 SJSU10:30 PM ETDick Tomey Legacy GameDick Tomey Legacy GameHawai'i@San José StateRIVALRYFINALHAW 38–45 SJSU45%55%

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