Saturday
GAMES
Browse this week's slate
METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY
How the model works, and whether it does
POWER RANKINGS
See where every team stands, replay 2025
PLAYOFF MODEL
Who makes the twelve-team field
THE LEDGER
What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market
BEAT SATURDAYSOON
Your call against the projected margin
CFP Semifinals Predictions · 2025
Every game of the 2025 CFP Semifinals slate, with the win probability and projected score Saturday set before kickoff, next to the final score. The numbers come from one rating per team, fit on scoring margin from the games played before each kickoff, with no foresight. Open any game for its full range of outcomes.
ALL GAMES
2 GAMESTHURSDAY, JANUARY 81 GAME