Saturday

Saturday

Browse this week's slate

METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY

How the model works, and whether it does

See where every team stands, replay 2025

Who makes the twelve-team field

What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market

BEAT SATURDAYSOON

Your call against the projected margin

DATA AS OF AUG 22 · 2:29 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

LEGAL PRIVACY TERMS

Week 3 Predictions · 2025

Every game of the 2025 Week 3 slate, with the win probability and projected score Saturday set before kickoff, next to the final score. The numbers come from one rating per team, fit on scoring margin from the games played before each kickoff, with no foresight. Open any game for its full range of outcomes.

ALL GAMES

70 GAMES

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 111 GAME

7:30 PM ET · Winston-Salem, NCFINALNCSU 34–24 WAKE7:30 PM ETWinston-Salem, NCNC State@Wake ForestFINALNCSU 34–24 WAKE71%29%

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 125 GAMES

6:30 PM ET · Bloomington, INFINALINST 0–73 IU6:30 PM ETBloomington, INIndiana State@#22 IndianaFINALINST 0–73 IU2%98%

7:00 PM ET · Syracuse, NYFINALCOLG 24–66 SYR7:00 PM ETSyracuse, NYColgate@SyracuseFINALCOLG 24–66 SYR2%98%

7:30 PM ET · Houston, TXFINALCOLO 20–36 HOU7:30 PM ETHouston, TXColorado@HoustonFINALCOLO 20–36 HOU49%51%

9:00 PM ET · Tucson, AZFINALKSU 17–23 ARIZ9:00 PM ETTucson, AZKansas State@ArizonaFINALKSU 17–23 ARIZ49%51%

10:00 PM ET · Pasadena, CAFINALUNM 35–10 UCLA10:00 PM ETPasadena, CANew Mexico@UCLAFINALUNM 35–10 UCLA13%87%

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 1364 GAMES

12:00 PM ET · Evanston, ILFINALORE 34–14 NU12:00 PM ETEvanston, IL#4 Oregon@NorthwesternFINALORE 34–14 NU94%6%

12:00 PM ET · Atlanta, GAFINALCLEM 21–24 GT12:00 PM ETAtlanta, GA#12 Clemson@Georgia TechFINALCLEM 21–24 GT53%47%

12:00 PM ET · Philadelphia, PAFINALOU 42–3 TEM12:00 PM ETPhiladelphia, PA#13 Oklahoma@TempleFINALOU 42–3 TEM88%12%

12:00 PM ET · Tuscaloosa, ALFINALWIS 14–38 ALA12:00 PM ETTuscaloosa, ALWisconsin@#19 AlabamaFINALWIS 14–38 ALA18%82%

12:00 PM ET · Ann Arbor, MIFINALCMU 3–63 MICH12:00 PM ETAnn Arbor, MICentral Michigan@#23 MichiganFINALCMU 3–63 MICH7%93%

12:00 PM ET · Lincoln, NEFINALHCU 7–59 NEB12:00 PM ETLincoln, NEHouston Christian@NebraskaFINALHCU 7–59 NEB2%98%

12:00 PM ET · College Park, MDFINALTOW 17–44 MD12:00 PM ETCollege Park, MDTowson@MarylandFINALTOW 17–44 MD6%94%

12:00 PM ET · Troy, ALFINALMEM 28–7 TROY12:00 PM ETTroy, ALMemphis@TroyFINALMEM 28–7 TROY61%39%

12:00 PM ET · Kent, OHFINALBUF 31–28 KENT12:00 PM ETKent, OHBuffalo@Kent StateFINALBUF 31–28 KENT87%13%

12:00 PM ET · Charlottesville, VAFINALW&M 16–55 UVA12:00 PM ETCharlottesville, VAWilliam & Mary@VirginiaFINALW&M 16–55 UVA2%98%

12:00 PM ET · Waco, TXFINALSAM 7–42 BAY12:00 PM ETWaco, TXSamford@BaylorFINALSAM 7–42 BAY2%98%

12:45 PM ET · Auburn, ALFINALUSA 15–31 AUB12:45 PM ETAuburn, ALSouth Alabama@#24 AuburnFINALUSA 15–31 AUB11%89%

1:00 PM ET · Columbia, MOFINALUL 10–52 MIZ1:00 PM ETColumbia, MOLouisiana@#25 MissouriFINALUL 10–52 MIZ13%87%

2:00 PM ET · Muncie, INFINALUNH 29–34 BALL2:00 PM ETMuncie, INNew Hampshire@Ball StateFINALUNH 29–34 BALL53%47%

3:00 PM ET · Newark, DEFINALCONN 41–44 DEL3:00 PM ETNewark, DEUConn@DelawareFINALCONN 41–44 DEL71%29%

3:30 PM ET · University Park, PAFINALVILL 6–52 PSU3:30 PM ETUniversity Park, PAVillanova@#2 Penn StateFINALVILL 6–52 PSU2%98%

3:30 PM ET · Knoxville, TNFINALUGA 44–41 TENN3:30 PM ETGeorgia–TennesseeGeorgia–Tennessee#6 Georgia@#15 TennesseeRIVALRYFINALUGA 44–41 TENN52%48%

3:30 PM ET · Lubbock, TXFINALORST 14–45 TTU3:30 PM ETLubbock, TXOregon State@#21 Texas TechFINALORST 14–45 TTU15%85%

3:30 PM ET · Denton, TXFINALWSU 10–59 UNT3:30 PM ETDenton, TXWashington State@North TexasFINALWSU 10–59 UNT43%57%

3:30 PM ET · Chapel Hill, NCFINALRICH 6–41 UNC3:30 PM ETChapel Hill, NCRichmond@North CarolinaFINALRICH 6–41 UNC6%94%

3:30 PM ET · East Lansing, MIFINALYSU 24–41 MSU3:30 PM ETEast Lansing, MIYoungstown State@Michigan StateFINALYSU 24–41 MSU3%97%

3:30 PM ET · Morgantown, WVFINALPITT 24–31 WVU3:30 PM ETBackyard BrawlBackyard BrawlPittsburgh@West VirginiaRIVALRYFINALPITT 24–31 WVU62%38%

3:30 PM ET · Piscataway, NJFINALNORF 10–60 RUTG3:30 PM ETPiscataway, NJNorfolk State@RutgersFINALNORF 10–60 RUTG2%98%

3:30 PM ET · Springfield, MOFINALSMU 28–10 MOST3:30 PM ETSpringfield, MOSMU@Missouri StateFINALSMU 28–10 MOST91%9%

3:30 PM ET · Toledo, OHFINALMORG 0–60 TOL3:30 PM ETToledo, OHMorgan State@ToledoFINALMORG 0–60 TOL3%97%

3:30 PM ET · West Lafayette, INFINALUSC 33–17 PUR3:30 PM ETWest Lafayette, INUSC@PurdueFINALUSC 33–17 PUR91%9%

3:30 PM ET · Cincinnati, OHFINALNWST 0–70 CIN3:30 PM ETCincinnati, OHNorthwestern State@CincinnatiFINALNWST 0–70 CIN2%98%

3:30 PM ET · San Antonio, TXFINALUIW 20–48 UTSA3:30 PM ETSan Antonio, TXIncarnate Word@UTSAFINALUIW 20–48 UTSA8%92%

4:00 PM ET · Jonesboro, ARFINALISU 24–16 ARST4:00 PM ETJonesboro, AR#14 Iowa State@Arkansas StateFINALISU 24–16 ARST89%11%

4:15 PM ET · Austin, TXFINALUTEP 10–27 TEX4:15 PM ETAustin, TXUTEP@#7 TexasFINALUTEP 10–27 TEX2%98%

4:30 PM ET · Miami Gardens, FLFINALUSF 12–49 MIA4:30 PM ETMiami Gardens, FL#18 South Florida@#5 MiamiFINALUSF 12–49 MIA19%81%

5:00 PM ET · Reno, NVFINALMTSU 14–13 NEV5:00 PM ETReno, NVMiddle Tennessee@NevadaFINALMTSU 14–13 NEV27%73%

5:00 PM ET · Bowling Green, OHFINALLIB 13–23 BGSU5:00 PM ETBowling Green, OHLiberty@Bowling GreenFINALLIB 13–23 BGSU54%46%

6:00 PM ET · Starkville, MSFINALALCN 0–63 MSST6:00 PM ETStarkville, MSAlcorn State@Mississippi StateFINALALCN 0–63 MSST2%98%

6:00 PM ET · Kennesaw, GAFINALMRMK 13–27 KENN6:00 PM ETKennesaw, GAMerrimack@Kennesaw StateFINALMRMK 13–27 KENN29%71%

6:00 PM ET · Miami, FLFINALFAU 28–38 FIU6:00 PM ETShula BowlShula BowlFlorida Atlantic@Florida InternationalRIVALRYFINALFAU 28–38 FIU34%66%

6:00 PM ET · Huntington, WVFINALEKU 7–38 MRSH6:00 PM ETHuntington, WVEastern Kentucky@MarshallFINALEKU 7–38 MRSH19%81%

6:00 PM ET · Charlotte, NCFINALMONM 35–42 CLT6:00 PM ETCharlotte, NCMonmouth@CharlotteFINALMONM 35–42 CLT44%56%

7:00 PM ET · Columbus, OHFINALOHIO 9–37 OSU7:00 PM ETColumbus, OHOhio@#1 Ohio StateFINALOHIO 9–37 OSU6%94%

7:00 PM ET · Champaign, ILFINALWMU 0–38 ILL7:00 PM ETChampaign, ILWestern Michigan@#9 IllinoisFINALWMU 0–38 ILL6%94%

7:00 PM ET · Oxford, MSFINALARK 35–41 MISS7:00 PM ETOxford, MSArkansas@#17 Ole MissFINALARK 35–41 MISS29%71%

7:00 PM ET · Atlanta, GAFINALMUR 21–37 GAST7:00 PM ETAtlanta, GAMurray State@Georgia StateFINALMUR 21–37 GAST4%96%

7:00 PM ET · Hattiesburg, MSFINALAPP 22–38 USM7:00 PM ETHattiesburg, MSApp State@Southern MissFINALAPP 22–38 USM55%45%

7:00 PM ET · Statesboro, GAFINALJXST 34–41 GASO7:00 PM ETStatesboro, GAJacksonville State@Georgia SouthernFINALJXST 34–41 GASO46%54%

7:00 PM ET · Houston, TXFINALPV 17–38 RICE7:00 PM ETHouston, TXPrairie View A&M@RiceFINALPV 17–38 RICE4%96%

7:00 PM ET · Blacksburg, VAFINALODU 45–26 VT7:00 PM ETBlacksburg, VAOld Dominion@Virginia TechFINALODU 45–26 VT40%60%

7:30 PM ET · Baton Rouge, LAFINALFLA 10–20 LSU7:30 PM ETFlorida–LSUFlorida–LSUFlorida@#3 LSURIVALRYFINALFLA 10–20 LSU29%71%

7:30 PM ET · Notre Dame, INFINALTA&M 41–40 ND7:30 PM ETNotre Dame, IN#16 Texas A&M@#8 Notre DameFINALTA&M 41–40 ND26%74%

7:30 PM ET · Conway, SCFINALECU 38–0 CCU7:30 PM ETConway, SCEast Carolina@Coastal CarolinaFINALECU 38–0 CCU66%34%

7:30 PM ET · Ruston, LAFINALNMSU 14–49 LT7:30 PM ETRuston, LANew Mexico State@Louisiana TechFINALNMSU 14–49 LT18%82%

7:30 PM ET · Lexington, KYFINALEMU 23–48 UK7:30 PM ETLexington, KYEastern Michigan@KentuckyFINALEMU 23–48 UK5%95%

7:30 PM ET · Iowa City, IAFINALMASS 7–47 IOWA7:30 PM ETIowa City, IAMassachusetts@IowaFINALMASS 7–47 IOWA2%98%

7:45 PM ET · Columbia, SCFINALVAN 31–7 SC7:45 PM ETColumbia, SCVanderbilt@#11 South CarolinaFINALVAN 31–7 SC34%66%

8:00 PM ET · Laramie, WYFINALUTAH 31–6 WYO8:00 PM ETLaramie, WY#20 Utah@WyomingFINALUTAH 31–6 WYO87%13%

8:00 PM ET · New Orleans, LAFINALDUKE 27–34 TULN8:00 PM ETNew Orleans, LADuke@TulaneFINALDUKE 27–34 TULN31%69%

8:00 PM ET · Tulsa, OKFINALNAVY 42–23 TLSA8:00 PM ETTulsa, OKNavy@TulsaFINALNAVY 42–23 TLSA88%12%

8:00 PM ET · Fort Worth, TXFINALACU 21–42 TCU8:00 PM ETFort Worth, TXAbilene Christian@TCUFINALACU 21–42 TCU2%98%

8:30 PM ET · Birmingham, ALFINALAKR 28–31 UAB8:30 PM ETBirmingham, ALAkron@UABFINALAKR 28–31 UAB19%81%

9:45 PM ET · Logan, UTFINALAF 30–49 USU9:45 PM ETLogan, UTAir Force@Utah StateFINALAF 30–49 USU51%49%

10:00 PM ET · Fresno, CAFINALSOU 7–56 FRES10:00 PM ETFresno, CASouthern@Fresno StateFINALSOU 7–56 FRES2%98%

10:30 PM ET · Berkeley, CAFINALMINN 14–27 CAL10:30 PM ETBerkeley, CAMinnesota@CaliforniaFINALMINN 14–27 CAL54%46%

10:30 PM ET · Tempe, AZFINALTXST 15–34 ASU10:30 PM ETTempe, AZTexas State@Arizona StateFINALTXST 15–34 ASU26%74%

10:30 PM ET · Stanford, CAFINALBC 20–30 STAN10:30 PM ETStanford, CABoston College@StanfordFINALBC 20–30 STAN68%32%

11:59 PM ET · Honolulu, HIFINALPRST 3–23 HAW11:59 PM ETHonolulu, HIPortland State@Hawai'iFINALPRST 3–23 HAW6%94%

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