What Saturday said before kickoff, and how it held up. When a week's games go final, every call gets graded here: the hits and the misses. Pick the week still to be played and you get the games where Saturday and the betting market disagree most. Nothing here is betting advice.

SHOWINGWEEK 5

WINNERS CALLED

43OF 59

Games where Saturday named the right winner

VS THE MARKET

-0.5PTS

Saturday landed closer to the final margin

Winners called is scored on every one of the 59 graded games. The market figure compares two misses: how far Saturday's projected margin finished from the real one, and how far the line finished from it. The line here is where the books opened the game, not where they closed it — Saturday prices a week once, before any of it is played, and the opener is the book's first number, made the same way. It is averaged over the 56 games graded against an opening line. Games against an FCS opponent sit that comparison out. Negative means Saturday was closer.

SATURDAY VS THE MARKET

LOCKED IN, WEEK COMPLETE

The two games this week where Saturday's number and the opening line disagreed most, and who turned out to be right. If the two were within 2 points of each other, it does not count as a real disagreement, no matter how the game finished.

WHERE WE BEAT THE MARKET6.8 PT DIVERGENCE

Syracuse

UConn

SYR 42FINAL41 CONN

Saturday saw UConn by 1. The line opened Syracuse by 6. It closed at 7. Final margin: Syracuse by 1. Saturday was closer by 3.

WHERE THE MARKET BEAT US5.4 PT DIVERGENCE

Vanderbilt

Georgia

VAN 14FINAL38 UGA

Saturday saw Georgia by 19. The line opened at 25. It closed at 26. Final margin: Georgia by 24. The market was closer by 4.

ALL GAMES

59 GAMES

Vanderbilt@#2 GeorgiaSATURDAY SAIDVAN 19 – 39 UGAFINALVAN 14 – 38 UGACALLHIT #3 Notre Dame@North CarolinaSATURDAY SAIDND 38 – 13 UNCFINALND 37 – 26 UNCCALLHIT #4 Miami@ClemsonSATURDAY SAIDMIA 33 – 21 CLEMFINALMIA 41 – 13 CLEMCALLHIT #5 Ohio State@#14 IowaSATURDAY SAIDOSU 31 – 20 IOWAFINALOSU 31 – 14 IOWACALLHIT #6 Indiana@RutgersSATURDAY SAIDIU 42 – 14 RUTGFINALIU 47 – 15 RUTGCALLHIT #7 Alabama@#16 Mississippi StateSATURDAY SAIDALA 35 – 27 MSSTFINALALA 56 – 23 MSSTCALLHIT #8 Florida@#25 MissouriSATURDAY SAIDFLA 32 – 29 MIZFINALFLA 17 – 45 MIZCALLMISS #10 BYU@TCUSATURDAY SAIDBYU 29 – 23 TCUFINALBYU 17 – 10 TCUCALLHIT McNeese@#11 LSUSATURDAY SAIDMCN 3 – 50 LSUFINALMCN 14 – 63 LSUCALLHIT #12 Texas Tech@ColoradoSATURDAY SAIDTTU 34 – 17 COLOFINALTTU 29 – 7 COLOCALLHIT Auburn@#17 TennesseeSATURDAY SAIDAUB 24 – 31 TENNFINALAUB 14 – 24 TENNCALLHIT Washington@#18 USCSATURDAY SAIDWASH 24 – 32 USCFINALWASH 21 – 25 USCCALLHIT UCF@#20 HoustonSATURDAY SAIDUCF 24 – 33 HOUFINALUCF 17 – 27 HOUCALLHIT Boston College@#21 SMUSATURDAY SAIDBC 15 – 37 SMUFINALBC 16 – 25 SMUCALLHIT Utah State@#22 Boise StateSATURDAY SAIDUSU 15 – 33 BOISFINALUSU 18 – 37 BOISCALLHIT #24 Kentucky@South CarolinaSATURDAY SAIDUK 28 – 30 SCFINALUK 35 – 34 SCCALLMISS Western Kentucky@New Mexico StateSATURDAY SAIDWKU 28 – 29 NMSUFINALWKU 13 – 34 NMSUCALLHIT North Texas@TulsaSATURDAY SAIDUNT 29 – 25 TLSAFINALUNT 45 – 44 TLSACALLHIT Liberty@DelawareSATURDAY SAIDLIB 27 – 24 DELFINALLIB 30 – 14 DELCALLHIT Pittsburgh@Virginia TechSATURDAY SAIDPITT 28 – 27 VTFINALPITT 35 – 33 VTCALLHIT Penn State@NorthwesternSATURDAY SAIDPSU 26 – 25 NUFINALPSU 13 – 34 NUCALLMISS Memphis@CharlotteSATURDAY SAIDMEM 38 – 18 CLTFINALMEM 59 – 8 CLTCALLHIT Stanford@Wake ForestSATURDAY SAIDSTAN 20 – 36 WAKEFINALSTAN 3 – 57 WAKECALLHIT Syracuse@UConnSATURDAY SAIDSYR 27 – 27 CONNFINALSYR 42 – 41 CONNCALLMISS Michigan@MinnesotaSATURDAY SAIDMICH 29 – 21 MINNFINALMICH 14 – 20 MINNCALLMISS Navy@Air ForceSATURDAY SAIDNAVY 27 – 29 AFFINALNAVY 9 – 14 AFCALLHIT West Virginia@Iowa StateSATURDAY SAIDWVU 25 – 32 ISUFINALWVU 42 – 45 ISUCALLHIT Middle Tennessee@KansasSATURDAY SAIDMTSU 16 – 37 KUFINALMTSU 0 – 55 KUCALLHIT Michigan State@WisconsinSATURDAY SAIDMSU 21 – 30 WISFINALMSU 3 – 31 WISCALLHIT Western Michigan@BuffaloSATURDAY SAIDWMU 34 – 19 BUFFINALWMU 20 – 17 BUFCALLHIT Toledo@Ball StateSATURDAY SAIDTOL 41 – 19 BALLFINALTOL 39 – 24 BALLCALLHIT Louisville@NC StateSATURDAY SAIDLOU 36 – 28 NCSUFINALLOU 28 – 31 NCSUCALLMISS Eastern Michigan@MassachusettsSATURDAY SAIDEMU 26 – 24 MASSFINALEMU 38 – 14 MASSCALLHIT Samford@UABSATURDAY SAIDSAM 12 – 38 UABFINALSAM 14 – 33 UABCALLHIT Old Dominion@Georgia StateSATURDAY SAIDODU 28 – 28 GASTFINALODU 10 – 42 GASTCALLHIT Ohio@Kent StateSATURDAY SAIDOHIO 31 – 25 KENTFINALOHIO 13 – 10 KENTCALLHIT Akron@Central MichiganSATURDAY SAIDAKR 20 – 30 CMUFINALAKR 17 – 41 CMUCALLHIT Bowling Green@Miami (OH)SATURDAY SAIDBGSU 18 – 35 M-OHFINALBGSU 24 – 20 M-OHCALLMISS California@UNLVSATURDAY SAIDCAL 25 – 24 UNLVFINALCAL 31 – 39 UNLVCALLMISS Virginia@Florida StateSATURDAY SAIDUVA 29 – 26 FSUFINALUVA 7 – 38 FSUCALLMISS Wyoming@North Dakota StateSATURDAY SAIDWYO 16 – 32 NDSUFINALWYO 0 – 28 NDSUCALLHIT Marshall@James MadisonSATURDAY SAIDMRSH 18 – 39 JMUFINALMRSH 17 – 45 JMUCALLHIT UTEP@New MexicoSATURDAY SAIDUTEP 14 – 40 UNMFINALUTEP 7 – 61 UNMCALLHIT Maryland@NebraskaSATURDAY SAIDMD 19 – 36 NEBFINALMD 23 – 48 NEBCALLHIT Purdue@IllinoisSATURDAY SAIDPUR 26 – 36 ILLFINALPUR 24 – 17 ILLCALLMISS Texas Southern@Florida AtlanticSATURDAY SAIDTXSO 13 – 48 FAUFINALTXSO 10 – 66 FAUCALLHIT Oregon State@Colorado StateSATURDAY SAIDORST 32 – 29 CSUFINALORST 56 – 26 CSUCALLHIT UL Monroe@South AlabamaSATURDAY SAIDULM 22 – 37 USAFINALULM 35 – 52 USACALLHIT UTSA@RiceSATURDAY SAIDUTSA 34 – 22 RICEFINALUTSA 16 – 14 RICECALLHIT Arkansas@Texas A&MSATURDAY SAIDARK 17 – 35 TA&MFINALARK 7 – 34 TA&MCALLHIT Georgia Southern@Coastal CarolinaSATURDAY SAIDGASO 25 – 26 CCUFINALGASO 31 – 24 CCUCALLMISS Temple@South FloridaSATURDAY SAIDTEM 21 – 31 USFFINALTEM 17 – 13 USFCALLMISS Army@Louisiana TechSATURDAY SAIDARMY 29 – 28 LTFINALARMY 29 – 31 LTCALLMISS Arkansas State@LouisianaSATURDAY SAIDARST 21 – 31 ULFINALARST 20 – 23 ULCALLHIT Fresno State@Washington StateSATURDAY SAIDFRES 24 – 26 WSUFINALFRES 26 – 6 WSUCALLMISS Texas State@San Diego StateSATURDAY SAIDTXST 29 – 28 SDSUFINALTXST 29 – 31 SDSUCALLMISS Baylor@Arizona StateSATURDAY SAIDBAY 28 – 27 ASUFINALBAY 55 – 19 ASUCALLHIT Cincinnati@ArizonaSATURDAY SAIDCIN 24 – 31 ARIZFINALCIN 7 – 34 ARIZCALLHIT San José State@Hawai'iSATURDAY SAIDSJSU 23 – 28 HAWFINALSJSU 20 – 16 HAWCALLMISS

Every projection here was locked in before kickoff, using only the games played up to that point. See how Saturday thinks for the full recipe.

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