Saturday

Saturday

Browse this week's slate

Every live game, tracked against the call

METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY

How the model works, and whether it does

See where every team stands, replay 2025

Who makes the twelve-team field

What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market

Every projection, week by week, as a CSV

BEAT SATURDAYSOON

Your call against the projected margin

DATA AS OF OCT 6 · 12:37 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

LEGAL PRIVACY TERMS

Week 5 Predictions · 2025

Every game of the 2025 Week 5 slate, with the win probability and projected score Saturday set before kickoff, next to the final score. Every number here was set before kickoff, on nothing but the games already played. Open any game for its full range of outcomes.

ALL GAMES

53 GAMES

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 251 GAME

7:30 PM ET · Greenville, NCFINALARMY 6–28 ECU7:30 PM ETGreenville, NCArmy@East CarolinaFINALARMY 6–28 ECU38%62%

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 263 GAMES

7:00 PM ET · Charlottesville, VAFINALFSU 38–46 UVA7:00 PM ETJefferson–Eppes TrophyJefferson–Eppes Trophy#8 Florida State@VirginiaRIVALRYFINALFSU 38–46 UVA49%51%

9:00 PM ET · Tempe, AZFINALTCU 24–27 ASU9:00 PM ETTempe, AZ#24 TCU@Arizona StateFINALTCU 24–27 ASU47%53%

10:30 PM ET · Corvallis, ORFINALHOU 27–24 ORST10:30 PM ETCorvallis, ORHouston@Oregon StateFINALHOU 27–24 ORST78%22%

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 2749 GAMES

12:00 PM ET · Winston-Salem, NCFINALGT 30–29 WAKE12:00 PM ETWinston-Salem, NC#16 Georgia Tech@Wake ForestFINALGT 30–29 WAKE83%17%

12:00 PM ET · Champaign, ILFINALUSC 32–34 ILL12:00 PM ETChampaign, IL#21 USC@#23 IllinoisFINALUSC 32–34 ILL67%33%

12:00 PM ET · Fayetteville, ARFINALND 56–13 ARK12:00 PM ETFayetteville, AR#22 Notre Dame@ArkansasFINALND 56–13 ARK64%36%

12:00 PM ET · Denton, TXFINALUSA 22–36 UNT12:00 PM ETDenton, TXSouth Alabama@North TexasFINALUSA 22–36 UNT22%78%

12:00 PM ET · Manhattan, KSFINALUCF 20–34 KSU12:00 PM ETManhattan, KSUCF@Kansas StateFINALUCF 20–34 KSU38%62%

12:00 PM ET · Pittsburgh, PAFINALLOU 34–27 PITT12:00 PM ETPittsburgh, PALouisville@PittsburghFINALLOU 34–27 PITT64%36%

12:00 PM ET · Minneapolis, MNFINALRUTG 28–31 MINN12:00 PM ETMinneapolis, MNRutgers@MinnesotaFINALRUTG 28–31 MINN42%58%

12:00 PM ET · Syracuse, NYFINALDUKE 38–3 SYR12:00 PM ETSyracuse, NYDuke@SyracuseFINALDUKE 38–3 SYR34%66%

12:00 PM ET · Lawrence, KSFINALCIN 37–34 KU12:00 PM ETLawrence, KSCincinnati@KansasFINALCIN 37–34 KU28%72%

12:00 PM ET · Athens, OHFINALBGSU 20–35 OHIO12:00 PM ETAthens, OHBowling Green@OhioFINALBGSU 20–35 OHIO31%69%

12:45 PM ET · Nashville, TNFINALUSU 35–55 VAN12:45 PM ETNashville, TNUtah State@#18 VanderbiltFINALUSU 35–55 VAN8%92%

1:00 PM ET · Mount Pleasant, MIFINALEMU 13–24 CMU1:00 PM ETMount Pleasant, MIEastern Michigan@Central MichiganFINALEMU 13–24 CMU35%65%

1:30 PM ET · Harrisonburg, VAFINALGASO 10–35 JMU1:30 PM ETHarrisonburg, VAGeorgia Southern@James MadisonFINALGASO 10–35 JMU15%85%

3:00 PM ET · Monroe, LAFINALARST 16–28 ULM3:00 PM ETMonroe, LAArkansas State@UL MonroeFINALARST 16–28 ULM36%64%

3:30 PM ET · Seattle, WAFINALOSU 24–6 WASH3:30 PM ETSeattle, WA#1 Ohio State@WashingtonFINALOSU 24–6 WASH64%36%

3:30 PM ET · Oxford, MSFINALLSU 19–24 MISS3:30 PM ETMagnolia BowlMagnolia Bowl#4 LSU@#13 Ole MissRIVALRYFINALLSU 19–24 MISS31%69%

3:30 PM ET · College Station, TXFINALAUB 10–16 TA&M3:30 PM ETCollege Station, TXAuburn@#9 Texas A&MFINALAUB 10–16 TA&M32%68%

3:30 PM ET · Iowa City, IAFINALIU 20–15 IOWA3:30 PM ETIowa City, IA#11 Indiana@IowaFINALIU 20–15 IOWA66%34%

3:30 PM ET · DeKalb, ILFINALSDSU 6–3 NIU3:30 PM ETDeKalb, ILSan Diego State@Northern IllinoisFINALSDSU 6–3 NIU56%44%

3:30 PM ET · Evanston, ILFINALUCLA 14–17 NU3:30 PM ETEvanston, ILUCLA@NorthwesternFINALUCLA 14–17 NU39%61%

3:30 PM ET · Chestnut Hill, MAFINALCAL 28–24 BC3:30 PM ETChestnut Hill, MACalifornia@Boston CollegeFINALCAL 28–24 BC35%65%

3:30 PM ET · Oxford, OHFINALLIN 0–38 M-OH3:30 PM ETOxford, OHLindenwood@Miami (OH)FINALLIN 0–38 M-OH8%92%

3:30 PM ET · Toledo, OHFINALAKR 3–45 TOL3:30 PM ETToledo, OHAkron@ToledoFINALAKR 3–45 TOL8%92%

3:30 PM ET · Morgantown, WVFINALUTAH 48–14 WVU3:30 PM ETMorgantown, WVUtah@West VirginiaFINALUTAH 48–14 WVU67%33%

3:30 PM ET · Stillwater, OKFINALBAY 45–27 OKST3:30 PM ETStillwater, OKBaylor@Oklahoma StateFINALBAY 45–27 OKST80%20%

3:30 PM ET · Amherst, NYFINALCONN 20–17 BUF3:30 PM ETAmherst, NYUConn@BuffaloFINALCONN 20–17 BUF58%42%

3:30 PM ET · Annapolis, MDFINALRICE 13–21 NAVY3:30 PM ETAnnapolis, MDRice@NavyFINALRICE 13–21 NAVY11%89%

4:00 PM ET · Albuquerque, NMFINALNMSU 20–38 UNM4:00 PM ETRio Grande RivalryRio Grande RivalryNew Mexico State@New MexicoRIVALRYFINALNMSU 20–38 UNM21%79%

4:00 PM ET · Colorado Springs, COFINALHAW 44–35 AF4:00 PM ETKuter TrophyKuter TrophyHawai'i@Air ForceRIVALRYFINALHAW 44–35 AF39%61%

4:00 PM ET · Tulsa, OKFINALTULN 31–14 TLSA4:00 PM ETTulsa, OKTulane@TulsaFINALTULN 31–14 TLSA85%15%

4:15 PM ET · Starkville, MSFINALTENN 41–34 MSST4:15 PM ETStarkville, MS#15 Tennessee@Mississippi StateFINALTENN 41–34 MSST63%37%

6:00 PM ET · Norfolk, VAFINALLIB 7–21 ODU6:00 PM ETNorfolk, VALiberty@Old DominionFINALLIB 7–21 ODU18%82%

6:00 PM ET · Kennesaw, GAFINALMTSU 16–24 KENN6:00 PM ETKennesaw, GAMiddle Tennessee@Kennesaw StateFINALMTSU 16–24 KENN36%64%

6:30 PM ET · Kalamazoo, MIFINALURI 14–47 WMU6:30 PM ETKalamazoo, MIRhode Island@Western MichiganFINALURI 14–47 WMU24%76%

7:00 PM ET · Ames, IAFINALARIZ 14–39 ISU7:00 PM ETAmes, IAArizona@#14 Iowa StateFINALARIZ 14–39 ISU36%64%

7:00 PM ET · Hattiesburg, MSFINALJXST 25–42 USM7:00 PM ETHattiesburg, MSJacksonville State@Southern MissFINALJXST 25–42 USM44%56%

7:00 PM ET · Boca Raton, FLFINALMEM 55–26 FAU7:00 PM ETBoca Raton, FLMemphis@Florida AtlanticFINALMEM 55–26 FAU86%14%

7:00 PM ET · Raleigh, NCFINALVT 23–21 NCSU7:00 PM ETRaleigh, NCVirginia Tech@NC StateFINALVT 23–21 NCSU35%65%

7:00 PM ET · Springfield, MOFINALWKU 27–22 MOST7:00 PM ETSpringfield, MOWestern Kentucky@Missouri StateFINALWKU 27–22 MOST54%46%

7:30 PM ET · University Park, PAFINALORE 30–24 PSU7:30 PM ETUniversity Park, PA#6 Oregon@#3 Penn StateFINALORE 30–24 PSU52%48%

7:30 PM ET · Athens, GAFINALALA 24–21 UGA7:30 PM ETAlabama–GeorgiaAlabama–Georgia#17 Alabama@#5 GeorgiaRIVALRYFINALALA 24–21 UGA44%56%

7:30 PM ET · Columbia, MOFINALMASS 6–42 MIZ7:30 PM ETColumbia, MOMassachusetts@#20 MissouriFINALMASS 6–42 MIZ2%98%

7:30 PM ET · Fort Collins, COFINALWSU 20–3 CSU7:30 PM ETFort Collins, COWashington State@Colorado StateFINALWSU 20–3 CSU34%66%

7:30 PM ET · Stanford, CAFINALSJSU 29–30 STAN7:30 PM ETBill Walsh Legacy GameBill Walsh Legacy GameSan José State@StanfordRIVALRYFINALSJSU 29–30 STAN37%63%

7:30 PM ET · Boise, IDFINALAPP 14–47 BOIS7:30 PM ETBoise, IDApp State@Boise StateFINALAPP 14–47 BOIS10%90%

7:45 PM ET · Columbia, SCFINALUK 13–35 SC7:45 PM ETColumbia, SCKentucky@South CarolinaFINALUK 13–35 SC34%66%

8:00 PM ET · Lafayette, LAFINALMRSH 51–54 UL8:00 PM ETLafayette, LAMarshall@LouisianaFINALMRSH 51–54 UL44%56%

9:00 PM ET · El Paso, TXFINALLT 30–11 UTEP9:00 PM ETEl Paso, TXLouisiana Tech@UTEPFINALLT 30–11 UTEP62%38%

10:15 PM ET · Boulder, COFINALBYU 24–21 COLO10:15 PM ETBoulder, CO#25 BYU@ColoradoFINALBYU 24–21 COLO54%46%

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