Saturday

Saturday

Browse this week's slate

METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY

How the model works, and whether it does

See where every team stands, replay 2025

Who makes the twelve-team field

What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market

BEAT SATURDAYSOON

Your call against the projected margin

DATA AS OF AUG 22 · 2:29 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

LEGAL PRIVACY TERMS

Week 6 Predictions · 2025

Every game of the 2025 Week 6 slate, with the win probability and projected score Saturday set before kickoff, next to the final score. The numbers come from one rating per team, fit on scoring margin from the games played before each kickoff, with no foresight. Open any game for its full range of outcomes.

ALL GAMES

51 GAMES

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 21 GAME

9:00 PM ET · Las Cruces, NMFINALSHSU 10–37 NMSU9:00 PM ETLas Cruces, NMSam Houston@New Mexico StateFINALSHSU 10–37 NMSU61%39%

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 35 GAMES

7:00 PM ET · Newark, DEFINALWKU 27–24 DEL7:00 PM ETNewark, DEWestern Kentucky@DelawareFINALWKU 27–24 DEL59%41%

7:00 PM ET · Tampa, FLFINALCLT 26–54 USF7:00 PM ETTampa, FLCharlotte@South FloridaFINALCLT 26–54 USF4%96%

10:00 PM ET · San Jose, CAFINALUNM 28–35 SJSU10:00 PM ETSan Jose, CANew Mexico@San José StateFINALUNM 28–35 SJSU36%64%

10:30 PM ET · Provo, UTFINALWVU 24–38 BYU10:30 PM ETProvo, UTWest Virginia@#23 BYUFINALWVU 24–38 BYU16%84%

10:30 PM ET · San Diego, CAFINALCSU 24–45 SDSU10:30 PM ETSan Diego, CAColorado State@San Diego StateFINALCSU 24–45 SDSU32%68%

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 445 GAMES

12:00 PM ET · Athens, GAFINALUK 14–35 UGA12:00 PM ETAthens, GAKentucky@#12 GeorgiaFINALUK 14–35 UGA13%87%

12:00 PM ET · Cincinnati, OHFINALISU 30–38 CIN12:00 PM ETCincinnati, OH#14 Iowa State@CincinnatiFINALISU 30–38 CIN55%45%

12:00 PM ET · Ann Arbor, MIFINALWIS 10–24 MICH12:00 PM ETAnn Arbor, MIWisconsin@#20 MichiganFINALWIS 10–24 MICH19%81%

12:00 PM ET · West Lafayette, INFINALILL 43–27 PUR12:00 PM ETPurdue CannonPurdue Cannon#22 Illinois@PurdueRIVALRYFINALILL 43–27 PUR75%25%

12:00 PM ET · Muncie, INFINALOHIO 14–20 BALL12:00 PM ETMuncie, INOhio@Ball StateFINALOHIO 14–20 BALL86%14%

12:00 PM ET · Birmingham, ALFINALARMY 31–13 UAB12:00 PM ETBirmingham, ALArmy@UABFINALARMY 31–13 UAB61%39%

12:00 PM ET · Waco, TXFINALKSU 34–35 BAY12:00 PM ETWaco, TXKansas State@BaylorFINALKSU 34–35 BAY34%66%

12:00 PM ET · Annapolis, MDFINALAF 31–34 NAVY12:00 PM ETCommander-in-Chief's TrophyCommander-in-Chief's TrophyAir Force@NavyRIVALRYFINALAF 31–34 NAVY20%80%

12:00 PM ET · Chapel Hill, NCFINALCLEM 38–10 UNC12:00 PM ETChapel Hill, NCClemson@North CarolinaFINALCLEM 38–10 UNC77%23%

12:00 PM ET · Pittsburgh, PAFINALBC 7–48 PITT12:00 PM ETPittsburgh, PABoston College@PittsburghFINALBC 7–48 PITT31%69%

1:00 PM ET · Blacksburg, VAFINALWAKE 30–23 VT1:00 PM ETBlacksburg, VAWake Forest@Virginia TechFINALWAKE 30–23 VT27%73%

1:00 PM ET · Philadelphia, PAFINALUTSA 21–27 TEM1:00 PM ETPhiladelphia, PAUTSA@TempleFINALUTSA 21–27 TEM64%36%

2:00 PM ET · Raleigh, NCFINALCAM 10–56 NCSU2:00 PM ETRaleigh, NCCampbell@NC StateFINALCAM 10–56 NCSU2%98%

2:30 PM ET · Hadley, MAFINALWMU 21–3 MASS2:30 PM ETHadley, MAWestern Michigan@MassachusettsFINALWMU 21–3 MASS86%14%

3:00 PM ET · Tucson, AZFINALOKST 13–41 ARIZ3:00 PM ETTucson, AZOklahoma State@ArizonaFINALOKST 13–41 ARIZ20%80%

3:30 PM ET · Pasadena, CAFINALPSU 37–42 UCLA3:30 PM ETPasadena, CA#7 Penn State@UCLAFINALPSU 37–42 UCLA92%8%

3:30 PM ET · Gainesville, FLFINALTEX 21–29 FLA3:30 PM ETGainesville, FL#9 Texas@FloridaFINALTEX 21–29 FLA67%33%

3:30 PM ET · Tuscaloosa, ALFINALVAN 14–30 ALA3:30 PM ETTuscaloosa, AL#16 Vanderbilt@#10 AlabamaFINALVAN 14–30 ALA28%72%

3:30 PM ET · Notre Dame, INFINALBOIS 7–28 ND3:30 PM ETNotre Dame, INBoise State@#21 Notre DameFINALBOIS 7–28 ND7%93%

3:30 PM ET · Louisville, KYFINALUVA 30–27 LOU3:30 PM ETLouisville, KY#24 Virginia@LouisvilleFINALUVA 30–27 LOU27%73%

3:30 PM ET · University Park, TXFINALSYR 18–31 SMU3:30 PM ETUniversity Park, TXSyracuse@SMUFINALSYR 18–31 SMU24%76%

3:30 PM ET · Akron, OHFINALCMU 22–28 AKR3:30 PM ETAkron, OHCentral Michigan@AkronFINALCMU 22–28 AKR62%38%

3:30 PM ET · Atlanta, GAFINALJMU 14–7 GAST3:30 PM ETAtlanta, GAJames Madison@Georgia StateFINALJMU 14–7 GAST87%13%

3:30 PM ET · Amherst, NYFINALEMU 30–31 BUF3:30 PM ETAmherst, NYEastern Michigan@BuffaloFINALEMU 30–31 BUF25%75%

3:30 PM ET · College Park, MDFINALWASH 24–20 MD3:30 PM ETCollege Park, MDWashington@MarylandFINALWASH 24–20 MD64%36%

3:30 PM ET · Evanston, ILFINALULM 7–42 NU3:30 PM ETEvanston, ILUL Monroe@NorthwesternFINALULM 7–42 NU26%74%

3:30 PM ET · DeKalb, ILFINALM-OH 25–14 NIU3:30 PM ETDeKalb, ILMiami (OH)@Northern IllinoisFINALM-OH 25–14 NIU53%47%

3:30 PM ET · East Hartford, CTFINALFIU 10–51 CONN3:30 PM ETEast Hartford, CTFlorida International@UConnFINALFIU 10–51 CONN23%77%

3:30 PM ET · Boone, NCFINALORST 23–27 APP3:30 PM ETBoone, NCOregon State@App StateFINALORST 23–27 APP56%44%

4:00 PM ET · Norman, OKFINALKENT 0–44 OU4:00 PM ETNorman, OKKent State@#5 OklahomaFINALKENT 0–44 OU2%98%

4:00 PM ET · Lincoln, NEFINALMSU 27–38 NEB4:00 PM ETLincoln, NEMichigan State@NebraskaFINALMSU 27–38 NEB26%74%

4:00 PM ET · Jonesboro, ARFINALTXST 30–31 ARST4:00 PM ETJonesboro, ARTexas State@Arkansas StateFINALTXST 30–31 ARST76%24%

6:00 PM ET · Norfolk, VAFINALCCU 7–47 ODU6:00 PM ETNorfolk, VACoastal Carolina@Old DominionFINALCCU 7–47 ODU12%88%

7:00 PM ET · Houston, TXFINALTTU 35–11 HOU7:00 PM ETHouston, TX#11 Texas Tech@HoustonFINALTTU 35–11 HOU62%38%

7:00 PM ET · Houston, TXFINALFAU 27–21 RICE7:00 PM ETHouston, TXFlorida Atlantic@RiceFINALFAU 27–21 RICE36%64%

7:00 PM ET · Troy, ALFINALUSA 24–31 TROY7:00 PM ETBattle for the BeltBattle for the BeltSouth Alabama@TroyRIVALRYFINALUSA 24–31 TROY41%59%

7:00 PM ET · Laramie, WYFINALUNLV 31–17 WYO7:00 PM ETLaramie, WYUNLV@WyomingFINALUNLV 31–17 WYO65%35%

7:30 PM ET · Columbus, OHFINALMINN 3–42 OSU7:30 PM ETColumbus, OHMinnesota@#1 Ohio StateFINALMINN 3–42 OSU8%92%

7:30 PM ET · Tallahassee, FLFINALMIA 28–22 FSU7:30 PM ETFlorida CupFlorida Cup#3 Miami@#18 Florida StateRIVALRYFINALMIA 28–22 FSU75%25%

7:30 PM ET · College Station, TXFINALMSST 9–31 TA&M7:30 PM ETCollege Station, TXMississippi State@#6 Texas A&MFINALMSST 9–31 TA&M15%85%

7:30 PM ET · Fort Worth, TXFINALCOLO 21–35 TCU7:30 PM ETFort Worth, TXColorado@TCUFINALCOLO 21–35 TCU23%77%

7:30 PM ET · Orlando, FLFINALKU 27–20 UCF7:30 PM ETOrlando, FLKansas@UCFFINALKU 27–20 UCF63%37%

8:00 PM ET · Memphis, TNFINALTLSA 7–45 MEM8:00 PM ETMemphis, TNTulsa@MemphisFINALTLSA 7–45 MEM6%94%

10:30 PM ET · Fresno, CAFINALNEV 17–20 FRES10:30 PM ETFresno, CANevada@Fresno StateFINALNEV 17–20 FRES12%88%

10:30 PM ET · Berkeley, CAFINALDUKE 45–21 CAL10:30 PM ETBerkeley, CADuke@CaliforniaFINALDUKE 45–21 CAL60%40%

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