Saturday

Saturday

Browse this week's slate

Every live game, tracked against the call

METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY

How the model works, and whether it does

See where every team stands, replay 2025

Who makes the twelve-team field

What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market

Every projection, week by week, as a CSV

BEAT SATURDAYSOON

Your call against the projected margin

DATA AS OF OCT 10 · 8:17 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

LEGAL PRIVACY TERMS

Week 5 Predictions · 2026

Every game of the 2026 Week 5 slate, with the win probability and projected score Saturday set before kickoff, next to the final score. Every number here was set before kickoff, on nothing but the games already played. Open any game for its full range of outcomes.

ALL GAMES

59 GAMES

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 12 GAMES

8:00 PM ET · Las Cruces, NMFINALWKU 13–34 NMSU8:00 PM ETLas Cruces, NMWestern Kentucky@New Mexico StateFINALWKU 13–34 NMSU49%51%

9:00 PM ET · Tulsa, OKFINALUNT 45–44 TLSA9:00 PM ETTulsa, OKNorth Texas@TulsaFINALUNT 45–44 TLSA60%40%

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23 GAMES

7:00 PM ET · Blacksburg, VAFINALPITT 35–33 VT7:00 PM ETBlacksburg, VAPittsburgh@Virginia TechFINALPITT 35–33 VT54%46%

7:00 PM ET · Newark, DEFINALLIB 30–14 DEL7:00 PM ETNewark, DELiberty@DelawareFINALLIB 30–14 DEL58%42%

8:00 PM ET · Evanston, ILFINALPSU 13–34 NU8:00 PM ETEvanston, ILPenn State@NorthwesternFINALPSU 13–34 NU52%48%

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 354 GAMES

11:00 AM ET · Charlotte, NCFINALMEM 59–8 CLT11:00 AM ETCharlotte, NCMemphis@CharlotteFINALMEM 59–8 CLT90%10%

12:00 PM ET · Chapel Hill, NCFINALND 37–26 UNC12:00 PM ETChapel Hill, NC#3 Notre Dame@North CarolinaFINALND 37–26 UNC94%6%

12:00 PM ET · Starkville, MSFINALALA 56–23 MSST12:00 PM ETBattle for Highway 82Battle for Highway 82#7 Alabama@#16 Mississippi StateRIVALRYFINALALA 56–23 MSST70%30%

12:00 PM ET · Houston, TXFINALUCF 17–27 HOU12:00 PM ETHouston, TXUCF@#20 HoustonFINALUCF 17–27 HOU29%71%

12:00 PM ET · University Park, TXFINALBC 16–25 SMU12:00 PM ETUniversity Park, TXBoston College@#21 SMUFINALBC 16–25 SMU9%91%

12:00 PM ET · Ames, IAFINALWVU 42–45 ISU12:00 PM ETAmes, IAWest Virginia@Iowa StateFINALWVU 42–45 ISU33%67%

12:00 PM ET · Colorado Springs, COFINALNAVY 9–14 AF12:00 PM ETCommander-in-Chief's TrophyCommander-in-Chief's TrophyNavy@Air ForceRIVALRYFINALNAVY 9–14 AF44%56%

12:00 PM ET · Lawrence, KSFINALMTSU 0–55 KU12:00 PM ETLawrence, KSMiddle Tennessee@KansasFINALMTSU 0–55 KU9%91%

12:00 PM ET · Winston-Salem, NCFINALSTAN 3–57 WAKE12:00 PM ETWinston-Salem, NCStanford@Wake ForestFINALSTAN 3–57 WAKE16%84%

12:00 PM ET · Minneapolis, MNFINALMICH 14–20 MINN12:00 PM ETLittle Brown JugLittle Brown JugMichigan@MinnesotaRIVALRYFINALMICH 14–20 MINN68%32%

12:00 PM ET · East Hartford, CTFINALSYR 42–41 CONN12:00 PM ETEast Hartford, CTSyracuse@UConnFINALSYR 42–41 CONN48%52%

12:30 PM ET · Madison, WIFINALMSU 3–31 WIS12:30 PM ETMadison, WIMichigan State@WisconsinFINALMSU 3–31 WIS28%72%

12:45 PM ET · Athens, GAFINALVAN 14–38 UGA12:45 PM ETAthens, GAVanderbilt@#2 GeorgiaFINALVAN 14–38 UGA12%88%

1:00 PM ET · Amherst, NYFINALWMU 20–17 BUF1:00 PM ETAmherst, NYWestern Michigan@BuffaloFINALWMU 20–17 BUF82%18%

2:00 PM ET · Muncie, INFINALTOL 39–24 BALL2:00 PM ETMuncie, INToledo@Ball StateFINALTOL 39–24 BALL91%9%

3:30 PM ET · Iowa City, IAFINALOSU 31–14 IOWA3:30 PM ETIowa City, IA#5 Ohio State@#14 IowaFINALOSU 31–14 IOWA75%25%

3:30 PM ET · Columbia, MOFINALFLA 17–45 MIZ3:30 PM ETColumbia, MO#8 Florida@#25 MissouriFINALFLA 17–45 MIZ57%43%

3:30 PM ET · Knoxville, TNFINALAUB 14–24 TENN3:30 PM ETAuburn–TennesseeAuburn–TennesseeAuburn@#17 TennesseeRIVALRYFINALAUB 14–24 TENN33%67%

3:30 PM ET · Atlanta, GAFINALODU 10–42 GAST3:30 PM ETAtlanta, GAOld Dominion@Georgia StateFINALODU 10–42 GAST48%52%

3:30 PM ET · Las Vegas, NVFINALCAL 31–39 UNLV3:30 PM ETLas Vegas, NVCalifornia@UNLVFINALCAL 31–39 UNLV52%48%

3:30 PM ET · Hadley, MAFINALEMU 38–14 MASS3:30 PM ETHadley, MAEastern Michigan@MassachusettsFINALEMU 38–14 MASS55%45%

3:30 PM ET · Kent, OHFINALOHIO 13–10 KENT3:30 PM ETKent, OHOhio@Kent StateFINALOHIO 13–10 KENT62%38%

3:30 PM ET · Raleigh, NCFINALLOU 28–31 NCSU3:30 PM ETRaleigh, NCLouisville@NC StateFINALLOU 28–31 NCSU68%32%

3:30 PM ET · Mount Pleasant, MIFINALAKR 17–41 CMU3:30 PM ETMount Pleasant, MIAkron@Central MichiganFINALAKR 17–41 CMU27%73%

3:30 PM ET · Birmingham, ALFINALSAM 14–33 UAB3:30 PM ETBirmingham, ALSamford@UABFINALSAM 14–33 UAB6%94%

3:30 PM ET · Oxford, OHFINALBGSU 24–20 M-OH3:30 PM ETOxford, OHBowling Green@Miami (OH)FINALBGSU 24–20 M-OH15%85%

3:30 PM ET · Fargo, NDFINALWYO 0–28 NDSU3:30 PM ETFargo, NDWyoming@North Dakota StateFINALWYO 0–28 NDSU16%84%

3:30 PM ET · Tallahassee, FLFINALUVA 7–38 FSU3:30 PM ETJefferson–Eppes TrophyJefferson–Eppes TrophyVirginia@Florida StateRIVALRYFINALUVA 7–38 FSU56%44%

3:45 PM ET · Harrisonburg, VAFINALMRSH 17–45 JMU3:45 PM ETHarrisonburg, VAMarshall@James MadisonFINALMRSH 17–45 JMU10%90%

4:00 PM ET · Albuquerque, NMFINALUTEP 7–61 UNM4:00 PM ETAlbuquerque, NMUTEP@New MexicoFINALUTEP 7–61 UNM5%95%

4:00 PM ET · Lincoln, NEFINALMD 23–48 NEB4:00 PM ETLincoln, NEMaryland@NebraskaFINALMD 23–48 NEB15%85%

4:15 PM ET · Columbia, SCFINALUK 35–34 SC4:15 PM ETColumbia, SC#24 Kentucky@South CarolinaFINALUK 35–34 SC46%54%

4:15 PM ET · Champaign, ILFINALPUR 24–17 ILL4:15 PM ETPurdue CannonPurdue CannonPurdue@IllinoisRIVALRYFINALPUR 24–17 ILL27%73%

6:00 PM ET · Fort Collins, COFINALORST 56–26 CSU6:00 PM ETFort Collins, COOregon State@Colorado StateFINALORST 56–26 CSU56%44%

6:00 PM ET · Boca Raton, FLFINALTXSO 10–66 FAU6:00 PM ETBoca Raton, FLTexas Southern@Florida AtlanticFINALTXSO 10–66 FAU2%98%

7:00 PM ET · Fort Worth, TXFINALBYU 17–10 TCU7:00 PM ETFort Worth, TX#10 BYU@TCUFINALBYU 17–10 TCU65%35%

7:00 PM ET · College Station, TXFINALARK 7–34 TA&M7:00 PM ETSouthwest ClassicSouthwest ClassicArkansas@Texas A&MRIVALRYFINALARK 7–34 TA&M13%87%

7:00 PM ET · Conway, SCFINALGASO 31–24 CCU7:00 PM ETConway, SCGeorgia Southern@Coastal CarolinaFINALGASO 31–24 CCU48%52%

7:00 PM ET · Houston, TXFINALUTSA 16–14 RICE7:00 PM ETHouston, TXUTSA@RiceFINALUTSA 16–14 RICE77%23%

7:00 PM ET · Mobile, ALFINALULM 35–52 USA7:00 PM ETMobile, ALUL Monroe@South AlabamaFINALULM 35–52 USA17%83%

7:30 PM ET · Clemson, SCFINALMIA 41–13 CLEM7:30 PM ETClemson, SC#4 Miami@ClemsonFINALMIA 41–13 CLEM77%23%

7:30 PM ET · Boulder, COFINALTTU 29–7 COLO7:30 PM ETBoulder, CO#12 Texas Tech@ColoradoFINALTTU 29–7 COLO86%14%

7:30 PM ET · Los Angeles, CAFINALWASH 21–25 USC7:30 PM ETLos Angeles, CAWashington@#18 USCFINALWASH 21–25 USC31%69%

7:30 PM ET · Boise, IDFINALUSU 18–37 BOIS7:30 PM ETBoise, IDUtah State@#22 Boise StateFINALUSU 18–37 BOIS14%86%

7:30 PM ET · Ruston, LAFINALARMY 29–31 LT7:30 PM ETRuston, LAArmy@Louisiana TechFINALARMY 29–31 LT51%49%

7:30 PM ET · Tampa, FLFINALTEM 17–13 USF7:30 PM ETTampa, FLTemple@South FloridaFINALTEM 17–13 USF27%73%

7:45 PM ET · Baton Rouge, LAFINALMCN 14–63 LSU7:45 PM ETBaton Rouge, LAMcNeese@#11 LSUFINALMCN 14–63 LSU2%98%

8:00 PM ET · Piscataway, NJFINALIU 47–15 RUTG8:00 PM ETPiscataway, NJ#6 Indiana@RutgersFINALIU 47–15 RUTG96%4%

8:00 PM ET · Lafayette, LAFINALARST 20–23 UL8:00 PM ETLafayette, LAArkansas State@LouisianaFINALARST 20–23 UL26%74%

9:30 PM ET · Pullman, WAFINALFRES 26–6 WSU9:30 PM ETPullman, WAFresno State@Washington StateFINALFRES 26–6 WSU44%56%

10:30 PM ET · San Diego, CAFINALTXST 29–31 SDSU10:30 PM ETSan Diego, CATexas State@San Diego StateFINALTXST 29–31 SDSU52%48%

10:30 PM ET · Tempe, AZFINALBAY 55–19 ASU10:30 PM ETTempe, AZBaylor@Arizona StateFINALBAY 55–19 ASU51%49%

11:00 PM ET · Tucson, AZFINALCIN 7–34 ARIZ11:00 PM ETTucson, AZCincinnati@ArizonaFINALCIN 7–34 ARIZ33%67%

11:59 PM ET · Honolulu, HIFINALSJSU 20–16 HAW11:59 PM ETDick Tomey Legacy GameDick Tomey Legacy GameSan José State@Hawai'iRIVALRYFINALSJSU 20–16 HAW38%62%

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