Saturday

Saturday

Browse this week's slate

Every live game, tracked against the call

METHODOLOGY & ACCURACY

How the model works, and whether it does

See where every team stands, replay 2025

Who makes the twelve-team field

What we said, what happened, and where we split from the market

Every projection, week by week, as a CSV

BEAT SATURDAYSOON

Your call against the projected margin

DATA AS OF OCT 10 · 8:17 PM ET

ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENT · NOT BETTING ADVICE

LEGAL PRIVACY TERMS

Week 6 Predictions · 2026

Every game on the 2026 Week 6 slate, with Saturday's win probability and projected score for each one, and the final score wherever a game has been played. Every number here was set before kickoff, on nothing but the games already played. Open any game for its full range of outcomes.

ALL GAMES

58 GAMES

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 61 GAME

8:00 PM ET · Troy, ALFINALUSM 34–55 TROY8:00 PM ETTroy, ALSouthern Miss@TroyFINALUSM 34–55 TROY29%71%

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 72 GAMES

7:00 PM ET · Kennesaw, GAFINALJXST 27–26 KENN7:00 PM ETKennesaw, GAJacksonville State@Kennesaw StateFINALJXST 27–26 KENN46%54%

7:30 PM ET · Miami, FLFINALNMSU 3–22 FIU7:30 PM ETMiami, FLNew Mexico State@Florida InternationalFINALNMSU 3–22 FIU39%61%

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 84 GAMES

7:00 PM ET · Bowling Green, KYFINALMOST 13–34 WKU7:00 PM ETBowling Green, KYMissouri State@Western KentuckyFINALMOST 13–34 WKU49%51%

7:00 PM ET · Lynchburg, VAFINALSHSU 3–35 LIB7:00 PM ETLynchburg, VASam Houston@LibertyFINALSHSU 3–35 LIB16%84%

7:30 PM ET · San Antonio, TXFINALUSF 24–31 UTSA7:30 PM ETSan Antonio, TXSouth Florida@UTSAFINALUSF 24–31 UTSA37%63%

7:30 PM ET · Jonesboro, ARFINALUSA 56–49 ARST7:30 PM ETJonesboro, ARSouth Alabama@Arkansas StateFINALUSA 56–49 ARST43%57%

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 95 GAMES

7:00 PM ET · Louisville, KYFINALFSU 20–44 LOU7:00 PM ETLouisville, KYFlorida State@LouisvilleFINALFSU 20–44 LOU34%66%

9:00 PM ET · Seattle, WAFINALIOWA 41–24 WASH9:00 PM ETSeattle, WA#20 Iowa@WashingtonFINALIOWA 41–24 WASH48%52%

9:00 PM ET · Logan, UTFINALWSU 16–17 USU9:00 PM ETLogan, UTWashington State@Utah StateFINALWSU 16–17 USU42%58%

9:00 PM ET · San Jose, CAFINALWYO 16–13 SJSU9:00 PM ETSan Jose, CAWyoming@San José StateFINALWYO 16–13 SJSU31%69%

10:15 PM ET · Provo, UTFINALISU 10–24 BYU10:15 PM ETProvo, UTIowa State@#8 BYUFINALISU 10–24 BYU18%82%

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 1046 GAMES

12:00 PM ET · Lincoln, NEFINALIU 20–17 NEB12:00 PM ETLincoln, NE#7 Indiana@NebraskaFINALIU 20–17 NEB73%27%

12:00 PM ET · Columbia, MOFINALTA&M 6–27 MIZ12:00 PM ETColumbia, MOTexas A&M@#14 MissouriFINALTA&M 6–27 MIZ46%54%

12:00 PM ET · Stillwater, OKFINALUCF 28–42 OKST12:00 PM ETStillwater, OKUCF@#18 Oklahoma StateFINALUCF 28–42 OKST46%54%

12:00 PM ET · Pittsburgh, PAFINALUNC 21–17 PITT12:00 PM ETPittsburgh, PANorth Carolina@#25 PittsburghFINALUNC 21–17 PITT26%74%

12:00 PM ET · Raleigh, NCFINALWAKE 38–14 NCSU12:00 PM ETRaleigh, NCWake Forest@NC StateFINALWAKE 38–14 NCSU59%41%

12:00 PM ET · Bowling Green, OHFINALSAC 10–38 BGSU12:00 PM ETBowling Green, OHSacramento State@Bowling GreenFINALSAC 10–38 BGSU31%69%

12:00 PM ET · Morgantown, WVFINALARIZ 52–31 WVU12:00 PM ETMorgantown, WVArizona@West VirginiaFINALARIZ 52–31 WVU69%31%

12:00 PM ET · West Point, NYFINALTULN 17–20 ARMY12:00 PM ETWest Point, NYTulane@ArmyFINALTULN 17–20 ARMY42%58%

12:30 PM ET · Evanston, ILFINALBALL 14–45 NU12:30 PM ETEvanston, ILBall State@NorthwesternFINALBALL 14–45 NU2%98%

12:45 PM ET · Gainesville, FLFINALSC 38–19 FLA12:45 PM ETGainesville, FLSouth Carolina@#16 FloridaFINALSC 38–19 FLA27%73%

1:00 PM ET · Boone, NCFINALODU 10–3 APP1:00 PM ETBoone, NCOld Dominion@App StateFINALODU 10–3 APP39%61%

1:00 PM ET · Greenville, NCFINALRICE 12–28 ECU1:00 PM ETGreenville, NCRice@East CarolinaFINALRICE 12–28 ECU26%74%

2:00 PM ET · Hadley, MAFINALM-OH 20–19 MASS2:00 PM ETHadley, MAMiami (OH)@MassachusettsFINALM-OH 20–19 MASS77%23%

3:30 PM ET · Dallas, TXFINALTEX 24–27 OU3:30 PM ETRed River RivalryRed River Rivalry#1 TexasVSOklahomaRIVALRYFINALTEX 24–27 OU73%27%

3:30 PM ET · Notre Dame, INFINALSTAN 7–58 ND3:30 PM ETLegends TrophyLegends TrophyStanford@#3 Notre DameRIVALRYFINALSTAN 7–58 ND2%98%

3:30 PM ET · Nashville, TNFINALMISS 52–17 VAN3:30 PM ETNashville, TN#9 Ole Miss@VanderbiltFINALMISS 52–17 VAN63%37%

3:30 PM ET · Eugene, ORFINALUCLA 17–15 ORE3:30 PM ETEugene, OR#21 UCLA@#13 OregonFINALUCLA 17–15 ORE31%69%

3:30 PM ET · Manhattan, KSFINALHOU 35–16 KSU3:30 PM ETManhattan, KS#22 Houston@Kansas StateFINALHOU 35–16 KSU45%55%

3:30 PM ET · Toledo, OHFINALBUF 23–8 TOL3:30 PM ETToledo, OHBuffalo@ToledoFINALBUF 23–8 TOL7%93%

3:30 PM ET · Athens, OHFINALCMU 14–31 OHIO3:30 PM ETAthens, OHCentral Michigan@OhioFINALCMU 14–31 OHIO42%58%

3:30 PM ET · Annapolis, MDFINALTLSA 26–34 NAVY3:30 PM ETAnnapolis, MDTulsa@NavyFINALTLSA 26–34 NAVY48%52%

3:30 PM ET · Kalamazoo, MIFINALKENT 7–38 WMU3:30 PM ETKalamazoo, MIKent State@Western MichiganFINALKENT 7–38 WMU14%86%

3:30 PM ET · Atlanta, GAFINALDUKE 25–28 GT3:30 PM ETAtlanta, GADuke@Georgia TechFINALDUKE 25–28 GT57%43%

3:30 PM ET · Akron, OHFINALEMU 25–23 AKR3:30 PM ETAkron, OHEastern Michigan@AkronFINALEMU 25–23 AKR57%43%

3:30 PM ET · Berkeley, CAFINALVT 20–25 CAL3:30 PM ETBerkeley, CAVirginia Tech@CaliforniaFINALVT 20–25 CAL60%40%

3:30 PM ET · East Lansing, MIFINALILL 38–37 MSU3:30 PM ETEast Lansing, MIIllinois@Michigan StateFINALILL 38–37 MSU54%46%

3:30 PM ET · Denton, TXFINALCLT 10–50 UNT3:30 PM ETDenton, TXCharlotte@North TexasFINALCLT 10–50 UNT4%96%

3:45 PM ET · Philadelphia, PAFINALCONN 34–20 TEM3:45 PM ETPhiladelphia, PAUConn@TempleFINALCONN 34–20 TEM37%63%

4:15 PM ET · Columbus, OHFINALMD 16–45 OSU4:15 PM ETColumbus, OHMaryland@#5 Ohio StateFINALMD 16–45 OSU2%98%

4:15 PM ET · Fayetteville, ARFINALTENN 24–17 ARK4:15 PM ETFayetteville, AR#15 Tennessee@ArkansasFINALTENN 24–17 ARK79%21%

6:00 PM ET · Corvallis, ORORST BY 8.76:00 PM ETCorvallis, ORSan Diego State@Oregon StateORST BY 8.729%71%

7:00 PM ET · Lexington, KYLSU BY 10.77:00 PM ETLexington, KY#10 LSU@KentuckyLSU BY 10.775%25%

7:00 PM ET · Memphis, TNMEM BY 17.57:00 PM ETBattle for the BonesBattle for the BonesUAB@MemphisRIVALRYMEM BY 17.514%86%

7:00 PM ET · El Paso, TXNEV BY 6.27:00 PM ETEl Paso, TXNevada@UTEPNEV BY 6.265%35%

7:00 PM ET · Las Vegas, NVUNLV BY 0.47:00 PM ETLas Vegas, NVNorth Dakota State@UNLVUNLV BY 0.449%51%

7:00 PM ET · Huntington, WVMRSH BY 3.37:00 PM ETHuntington, WVCoastal Carolina@MarshallMRSH BY 3.342%58%

7:30 PM ET · Tuscaloosa, ALALA BY 7.97:30 PM ETAlabama–GeorgiaAlabama–Georgia#2 Georgia@#6 AlabamaRIVALRYALA BY 7.931%69%

7:30 PM ET · University Park, PAPSU BY 1.67:30 PM ETUniversity Park, PA#19 USC@Penn StatePSU BY 1.646%54%

7:30 PM ET · Charlottesville, VAUVA BY 11.97:30 PM ETCharlottesville, VASyracuse@VirginiaUVA BY 11.923%77%

7:30 PM ET · Ruston, LALT BY 1.17:30 PM ETRuston, LALouisiana@Louisiana TechLT BY 1.147%53%

7:30 PM ET · Statesboro, GAJMU BY 12.47:30 PM ETStatesboro, GAJames Madison@Georgia SouthernJMU BY 12.478%22%

7:30 PM ET · DeKalb, ILAF BY 9.97:30 PM ETDeKalb, ILAir Force@Northern IllinoisAF BY 9.973%27%

8:00 PM ET · Salt Lake City, UTUTAH BY 16.18:00 PM ETSalt Lake City, UTKansas@#12 UtahUTAH BY 16.116%84%

8:00 PM ET · West Lafayette, INMINN BY 1.08:00 PM ETWest Lafayette, INMinnesota@PurdueMINN BY 1.052%48%

10:30 PM ET · Fresno, CABOIS BY 7.210:30 PM ETMilk CanMilk Can#23 Boise State@Fresno StateRIVALRYBOIS BY 7.267%33%

10:30 PM ET · Tempe, AZASU BY 16.810:30 PM ETTempe, AZHawai'i@Arizona StateASU BY 16.815%85%

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